Lincoln Red Imps vs HNK Hajduk Split
Match details. UEFA Conference League, League Stage - 3. Kick-off is Thu 5 Nov, 18:45 Lagos time. It is played at Europa Point Stadium, Gibraltar. The referee is P. Gryckiewicz.
What's at stake. Lincoln Red Imps are 33rd on 0 points after 2 games, level on points with FC Thun, level on points with KuPS. A win would take them above FC Thun. HNK Hajduk Split are 8th on 6 points after 2 games, level on points with St. Truiden, 2 points clear of Brighton. A win would take them above St. Truiden.
Form. Lincoln Red Imps have won seven, drawn one and lost two of their last ten, 2.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L W L. HNK Hajduk Split have won eight, drawn one and lost one of their last ten, 2.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W W W.
The numbers. Lincoln Red Imps score 2.3 and concede 0.8 a game over their last ten, with six clean sheets. Lincoln Red Imps average 12.7 shots (5.2 on target), 4.2 corners and 1.2 cards a game, with 33% of the ball. HNK Hajduk Split score 1.8 and concede one a game in their last five away, with three clean sheets. HNK Hajduk Split average 11.2 shots (5.3 on target), 4.6 corners and 2.0 cards a game, with 53% of the ball.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make Lincoln Red Imps the likelier winners, but HNK Hajduk Split are the stronger side on form and the table.
The case against. Lincoln Red Imps's record still gives them 43% to win.
The read. HNK Hajduk Split to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Lincoln Red Imps the likelier winners; HNK Hajduk Split are the stronger side on form and the table. Their xG points to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 60%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Lincoln Red Imps 1-2 HNK Hajduk Split (7% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).