Match details. HNL, Regular Season - 12. Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time. It is played at Stadion Poljud, Split.
What's at stake. HNK Hajduk Split are 1st on 23 points after 11 games, 4 points clear of Dinamo Zagreb. HNK Gorica are 10th on 7 points after 11 games, 3 points behind Rudes. A win would take them level on points with Rudes.
Form. HNK Hajduk Split have won eight, drawn one and lost one of their last ten, 2.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W W W. HNK Gorica have won one, drawn five and lost four of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D L W D.
The numbers. HNK Hajduk Split score 1.6 and concede 0.4 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets. HNK Hajduk Split average 15.4 shots (6.1 on target), 4.4 corners and 2.0 cards a game, with 60% of the ball. HNK Gorica score 0.6 and concede one a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. HNK Gorica average 10.1 shots (3.1 on target), 4.1 corners and 1.4 cards a game, with 46% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings HNK Hajduk Split have won seven, drawn one and lost two. Five of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in six. In the last four, HNK Hajduk Split won three and HNK Gorica won one. The last time they met, on 16 Aug 2026, it finished HNK Hajduk Split 2-1 HNK Gorica: HNK Hajduk Split had 16 shots to 8, 61% of the ball, four yellow cards.
The case against. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to a tight game. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 42%.
The read. HNK Hajduk Split to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make HNK Hajduk Split the likelier winners; HNK Hajduk Split are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour HNK Hajduk Split; the meetings favour HNK Hajduk Split.
The bets. Best bet: HNK Hajduk Split to win at 1.33, 88% on the records (the tipsters read HNK Hajduk Split as a clear winner (3 scores) and HNK Hajduk Split are 1.6 points a game better this season - 21 of 24 games like this were won). Full cover: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.23. It wins on every score where the best bet loses. Leave: HNK Hajduk Split Over 1.5 goals (HNK Gorica's own games don't back it (4 of 9)); Under 4.5 Goals (HNK Hajduk Split are a clear winner, no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (HNK Hajduk Split are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: HNK Hajduk Split 2-1 HNK Gorica (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).