Match details. HNL, Regular Season - 11. Kick-off is Mon 26 Oct, 18:00 Lagos time. It is played at Stadion Aldo Drosina, Pula. The referee is Patrik Kolaric.
What's at stake. NK Istra 1961 are 7th on 12 points after 10 games, 1 point behind NK Slaven Belupo, 1 point clear of NK Lokomotiva Zagreb. A win would take them above NK Slaven Belupo. HNK Hajduk Split are 1st on 22 points after 10 games, 3 points clear of Dinamo Zagreb.
Form. NK Istra 1961 have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L W D. In this competition NK Istra 1961 have gone L W L W D D. HNK Hajduk Split have won seven, drawn one and lost two of their last ten, 2.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L W W. In this competition HNK Hajduk Split have gone W W L W W W.
The numbers. NK Istra 1961 score two and concede 1.6 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. NK Istra 1961 average 13.0 shots (5.5 on target), 4.6 corners and 1.9 cards a game, with 47% of the ball. HNK Hajduk Split score 1.9 and concede 0.9 a game over their last ten, with five clean sheets. HNK Hajduk Split average 15.6 shots (6.0 on target), 4.0 corners and 2.1 cards a game, with 61% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings NK Istra 1961 have won two, drawn five and lost three. Five of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in eight. In the last four, NK Istra 1961 won one, one was drawn and HNK Hajduk Split won two. The last time they met, on 9 Aug 2026, it finished NK Istra 1961 2-2 HNK Hajduk Split: NK Istra 1961 had 7 shots to 18, 38% of the ball, four yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 76%.
The case against. NK Istra 1961's record still gives them 30% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to a tight game.
The read. HNK Hajduk Split to win. An open game. HNK Hajduk Split are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour HNK Hajduk Split. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 76%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: HNK Hajduk Split or Over 2.5 Goals (the signs point different ways); HNK Hajduk Split to Win Either Half: Yes (the signs point different ways); 2nd Half - HNK Hajduk Split Over/Under: Over 0.5 (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: NK Istra 1961 1-2 HNK Hajduk Split (8% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).