INTERNATIONAL CLUBS - UEFA CONFERENCE LEAGUE

FTFCT

20:00Thu 22 Oct

HNK

FC Thun vs HNK Hajduk Split

CLASS A

Pick card Full analysis Share

THE READ

Match details. UEFA Conference League, League Stage - 2. Kick-off is Thu 22 Oct, 20:00 Lagos time. It is played at Stockhorn Arena, Thun. The referee is J. Gillett.

What's at stake. FC Thun are 30th on 0 points after 1 game, level on points with Aarhus, level on points with KuPS. A win would take them above Aarhus. HNK Hajduk Split are 11th on 3 points after 1 game, level on points with Monaco, level on points with Brann. A win would take them above Monaco.

Form. FC Thun have won two, drawn two and lost six of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W L L. In this competition FC Thun have gone L. HNK Hajduk Split have won three, drawn one and lost none of their last four, 2.5 points a game. Their last four, newest first: W D W W.

The numbers. FC Thun score 1.4 and concede 2.6 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and four games without a goal. FC Thun average 14.4 shots (3.5 on target), 5.2 corners and 3.1 cards a game, with 45% of the ball. HNK Hajduk Split score 3.2 and concede 1.2 a game over their last four, with one clean sheet. HNK Hajduk Split average 12.9 shots (6.2 on target), 5.8 corners and 2.2 cards a game, with 54% of the ball.

The read. HNK Hajduk Split to win. A draw is live. An open game. Their goals for and against make HNK Hajduk Split the likelier winners; HNK Hajduk Split are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to an open game.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: FC Thun 1-3 HNK Hajduk Split (8% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Over 1.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.16

93.1%

a proven pattern for games read like this one (over 1.5)

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–3 7.8%

FC Thun goals →

HNK Hajduk Split goals ↓

0-01%

1-01%

2-01%

3-00.5%

4-00.2%

5-00.0%

0-13%

1-15%

2-13%

3-12%

4-10.5%

5-10.1%

0-25%

1-28%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.8%

5-20.2%

0-36%

1-38%

2-35%

3-32%

4-30.8%

5-30.2%

0-44%

1-46%

2-44%

3-42%

4-40.7%

5-40.2%

0-53%

1-54%

2-53%

3-51%

4-50.4%

5-50.1%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).

FORM · LAST 10

FC THUNLDWDLLLWLL0.80 PPG

HNK HAJDUK SPLITWWDW2.50 PPG

THE NUMBERS

FC THUN HOMExHNK HAJDUK SPLIT AWAY

1.40SCORED A GAME3.252.60CONCEDED A GAME1.2510%CLEAN SHEETS25%30%FAILED TO SCORE0%5.25CORNERS A GAME5.753.12CARDS A GAME2.25

THE BANK

THE BANKER MENU

OVER 1.5 CARDS

–

718 OF 767

NO PRICE YET

The Bank expects 4.5+ cards.

Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.

THE QUALITY READ

1.00POINTS A GAME2.50-1.00GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+1.00-1.3SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+5.30.6LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.410LEAGUE GAMES6

HNK Hajduk Split: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference, more shots than it allows, better form (last 5).

HNK HAJDUK SPLIT 0:2 HANDICAP

–

54 OF 60

NO PRICE YET

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

86%

VERY GOOD · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

83%

VERY GOOD · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

72%

NO · 85/90

FC THUN OR DRAW

41%

NO · 80/85

HNK HAJDUK SPLIT OR DRAW

76%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (10 and 6 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

FC THUNxHNK HAJDUK SPLIT

5GAMES51.60SCORED A GAME1.602.60CONCEDED A GAME0.804.2GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.480%OVER 1.5 GOALS60%80%OVER 2.5 GOALS60%80%BOTH SCORE20%5.2CARDS IN THEIR GAMES4.012.6CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES6.8

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TRENDS

FC Thun have scored in 60% of their games.

HNK Hajduk Split have scored in 90% of their games.

FC Thun failed to score in 30% of their games.

HNK Hajduk Split failed to score in 0% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstxG & xGAleague tablecornerscards