HNK Hajduk Split vs NK Varazdin
Match details. HNL, Regular Season - 10. Kick-off is Sun 18 Oct, 14:00 Lagos time. It is played at Stadion Poljud, Split. The referee is Dario Bel.
What's at stake. HNK Hajduk Split are 1st on 19 points after 9 games, 1 point clear of NK Varazdin. NK Varazdin are 2nd on 18 points after 9 games, 1 point behind HNK Hajduk Split, 1 point clear of NK Osijek. A win would take them above HNK Hajduk Split.
Form. HNK Hajduk Split have won six, drawn one and lost two of their last nine, 2.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W W W. In this competition HNK Hajduk Split have gone W L W W W W. NK Varazdin have won five, drawn three and lost one of their last nine, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D D D W. In this competition NK Varazdin have gone W D D D W L.
The numbers. HNK Hajduk Split score 2.2 and concede 0.6 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets. HNK Hajduk Split average 15.6 shots (6.1 on target), 4.1 corners and 2.1 cards a game, with 61% of the ball. NK Varazdin score 1.6 and concede 0.8 a game over their last nine, with five clean sheets and two games without a goal. NK Varazdin average 14.8 shots (4.0 on target), 5.1 corners and 1.4 cards a game, with 48% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings HNK Hajduk Split have won three, drawn three and lost four. Three of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in six. In the last four, HNK Hajduk Split won one, two were drawn and NK Varazdin won one. The last time they met, on 2 Aug 2026, it finished HNK Hajduk Split 1-2 NK Varazdin: HNK Hajduk Split had 10 shots to 10, 54% of the ball, four yellow cards.
The case against. NK Varazdin's record still gives them 32% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to a tight game. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 50%. Not everything agrees on goals: seven of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The read. HNK Hajduk Split or the draw. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: HNK Hajduk Split Over 0.5 goals (NK Varazdin's own games don't back it (4 of 9)); NK Varazdin Under 1.5 goals (NK Varazdin's own games don't back it (4 of 9)); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: HNK Hajduk Split 2-1 NK Varazdin (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).