INTERNATIONAL CLUBS - UEFA CONFERENCE LEAGUE

HHHNK

17:45Thu 15 Oct

AJA

AJA

HNK Hajduk Split vs Ajax

CLASS A

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THE READ

Match details. Nl1, League Stage - 1. Kick-off is Thu 15 Oct, 17:45 Lagos time. It is played at Stadion Poljud, Split. The referee is P. Ciochirca.

What's at stake. HNK Hajduk Split are 14th on 0 points after 0 games, level on points with CSKA Sofia, level on points with Pafos. A win would take them above CSKA Sofia. Ajax are 9th on 0 points after 0 games, level on points with Atalanta, level on points with Twente. A win would take them above Atalanta.

Form. HNK Hajduk Split have won seven, drawn two and lost one of their last ten, 2.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W W W. Ajax have won five, drawn four and lost one of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D W W L.

The numbers. HNK Hajduk Split score 2.2 and concede 0.6 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets. HNK Hajduk Split average 13.4 shots (6.0 on target), 5.0 corners and 2.4 cards a game, with 58% of the ball. Ajax score 3.1 and concede 1.7 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet. Ajax average 17.9 shots (7.7 on target), 7.3 corners and 2.0 cards a game, with 66% of the ball.

The case against. HNK Hajduk Split's record still gives them 44% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their xG points to an open game. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 77%.

The read. Ajax or the draw. A draw is live. A tight game. HNK Hajduk Split are the stronger side on form and the table.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: HNK Hajduk Split 1-1 Ajax (7% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

HALVES

2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5PAGE ONLY

1.17

HNK 4 of 5 (80%) · AJA 9 of 10 (90%)87%

HNK Hajduk Split: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Ajax: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · on half-time scores · each game weighed by who it was against

CARDS

Over 3.5 CardsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

HNK 8 of 9 (89%) · AJA 6 of 10 (60%)74.6%

HNK Hajduk Split's games: over 3.5 cards in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Ajax's games: over 3.5 cards in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · each game weighed by who it was against

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–1 7%

HNK Hajduk Split goals →

Ajax goals ↓

0-02%

1-03%

2-03%

3-02%

4-01%

5-00.6%

0-13%

1-17%

2-17%

3-15%

4-13%

5-11%

0-23%

1-27%

2-27%

3-25%

4-23%

5-21%

0-32%

1-35%

2-35%

3-34%

4-32%

5-30.8%

0-41%

1-42%

2-43%

3-42%

4-41.0%

5-40.4%

0-50.5%

1-51.0%

2-51%

3-50.7%

4-50.4%

5-50.2%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

HNK HAJDUK SPLITWDWDWWWWLW2.30 PPG

AJAXDDWWWLWWDD1.90 PPG

THE NUMBERS

HNK HAJDUK SPLIT HOMExAJAX AWAY

2.10SCORED A GAME3.100.90CONCEDED A GAME1.7050%CLEAN SHEETS10%0%FAILED TO SCORE0%5.00CORNERS A GAME7.302.44CARDS A GAME2.00

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

2.40POINTS A GAME1.88+1.00GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+1.50+5.8SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+8.62.4LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.65LEAGUE GAMES8

HNK Hajduk Split: the quality side - better form (last 5).

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

95%

VERY GOOD · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

69%

OKAY · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

89%

OKAY · 85/90

HNK HAJDUK SPLIT OR DRAW

60%

NO · 80/85

AJAX OR DRAW

55%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (5 and 8 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

HNK HAJDUK SPLITxAJAX

5GAMES51.80SCORED A GAME2.800.80CONCEDED A GAME1.602.6GOALS IN THEIR GAMES4.480%OVER 1.5 GOALS100%60%OVER 2.5 GOALS80%20%BOTH SCORE100%4.0CARDS IN THEIR GAMES4.46.8CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES9.8

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TRENDS

HNK Hajduk Split have scored in 90% of their games.

Ajax have scored in 100% of their games.

HNK Hajduk Split kept a clean sheet in 50% of their games.

Ajax kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tableteam newscornerscards