Match details. HNL, Regular Season - 9. Kick-off is Sat 10 Oct, 14:00 Lagos time. It is played at Stadion Poljud, Split. The referee is Igor Pajac.
What's at stake. HNK Hajduk Split are 2nd on 16 points after 8 games, level on points with Dinamo Zagreb, level on points with NK Osijek. A win would take them above Dinamo Zagreb. GNK Dinamo Zagreb are 1st on 16 points after 7 games, level on points with HNK Hajduk Split.
Form. HNK Hajduk Split have won seven, drawn two and lost one of their last ten, 2.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W W W. GNK Dinamo Zagreb have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W D L W.
The numbers. HNK Hajduk Split score 2.6 and concede 0.4 a game in their last five at home, with four clean sheets. HNK Hajduk Split average 13.1 shots (5.8 on target), 5.1 corners and 2.6 cards a game, with 61% of the ball. GNK Dinamo Zagreb score 2.2 and concede 1.5 a game in their last six away, with three clean sheets. GNK Dinamo Zagreb average 20.0 shots (7.3 on target), 7.7 corners and 2.1 cards a game, with 63% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings HNK Hajduk Split have won two, drawn two and lost six. Three of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, one was drawn and GNK Dinamo Zagreb won three. The last time they met, on 9 May 2026, it finished HNK Hajduk Split 0-2 GNK Dinamo Zagreb: HNK Hajduk Split had 4 shots to 17, 45% of the ball, four yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make HNK Hajduk Split the likelier winners, but both teams' records favour GNK Dinamo Zagreb; the meetings favour GNK Dinamo Zagreb. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 68%; seven of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The case against. HNK Hajduk Split's record still gives them 39% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: seven of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The read. GNK Dinamo Zagreb or the draw. A draw is live. An open game. Their goals for and against make HNK Hajduk Split the likelier winners; both teams' records favour GNK Dinamo Zagreb; the meetings favour GNK Dinamo Zagreb. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 68%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.20, 78% on the records (HNK Hajduk Split: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 6; GNK Dinamo Zagreb: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5). Backup: GNK Dinamo Zagreb or Over 2.5 Goals at 1.31. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: GNK Dinamo Zagreb Over 0.5 goals (HNK Hajduk Split's own games don't back it (2 of 6)); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: HNK Hajduk Split 1-2 GNK Dinamo Zagreb (7% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).