Orense SC vs CD Cuenca
Match details. LigaPro Primera A, Relegation Group - 2. Kick-off is Sun 11 Oct, 19:45 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio 9 de Mayo, Machala. The referee is Gabriel Ismael Gonzalez Cordero.
What's at stake. Orense SC are 13th on 33 points after 31 games, 4 points behind Deportivo Cuenca, level on points with Tecnico Universitario. CD Cuenca are 12th on 37 points after 31 games, 2 points behind Mushuc Runa SC, 4 points clear of Orense SC. A win would take them above Mushuc Runa SC. Orense SC have nothing left to play for. CD Cuenca have nothing left to play for. It is played over two legs.
Form. Orense SC have won two, drawn one and lost seven of their last ten, 0.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W L L. In this competition Orense SC have gone L L W L L L. CD Cuenca have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D L W L. In this competition CD Cuenca have gone D D L W L D.
The numbers. Orense SC score 1.2 and concede two a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. Orense SC average 13.8 shots (3.8 on target), 4.5 corners and 2.2 cards a game, with 50% of the ball. CD Cuenca score 0.7 and concede 1.2 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and four games without a goal. CD Cuenca average 17.5 shots (4.8 on target), 5.9 corners and 1.9 cards a game, with 50% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Orense SC have won six, drawn three and lost one. Two of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, Orense SC won three and one was drawn. The last time they met, on 16 Aug 2026, it finished Orense SC 2-0 CD Cuenca: Orense SC had 11 shots to 12, 52% of the ball, two yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. CD Cuenca are the form side, but the meetings favour Orense SC: in the last ten meetings, Orense SC won six, CD Cuenca won one and three were drawn.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Form and the meetings point different ways, so I back neither side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 46%. Eight of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.23, 75% on the records (Orense SC: under 3.5 goals in 8 of 10; CD Cuenca: under 3.5 goals in 9 of 10). Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Orense SC 1-1 CD Cuenca (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).