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WALES - CYMRU PREMIER
Cardiff Metropolitan University FC crestCMCAR
19:45Tue 29 Sep
HAVHaverfordwest County AFC crestHC

Cardiff Metropolitan University FC vs Haverfordwest County AFC

CLASS D
THE READ

Match details. Cymru Premier, Regular Season - 9. Kick-off is Tue 29 Sep, 19:45 Lagos time. It is played at Cyncoed Campus, Cardiff. The referee is R. Kenny.

What's at stake. Cardiff Metropolitan University FC are 9th on 15 points after 10 games, 1 point behind Llandudno, level on points with Airbus UK. A win would take them above Llandudno. Haverfordwest County AFC are 11th on 10 points after 10 games, 5 points behind Airbus UK, 1 point clear of Briton Ferry.

Form. Cardiff Metropolitan University FC have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L D D W. In this competition Cardiff Metropolitan University FC have gone D L D D W W. Haverfordwest County AFC have won three, drawn one and lost six of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W D W. In this competition Haverfordwest County AFC have gone L W W D W L.

The numbers. Cardiff Metropolitan University FC score 2.6 and concede two a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Cardiff Metropolitan University FC average 3.7 corners and 1.6 cards a game. Haverfordwest County AFC score 0.7 and concede 1.5 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and six games without a goal. Haverfordwest County AFC average 0.2 cards a game.

Head to head. In the last ten meetings Cardiff Metropolitan University FC have won none, drawn six and lost four. One of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, two were drawn and Haverfordwest County AFC won two. The last time they met, on 13 Mar 2026, it finished Cardiff Metropolitan University FC 0-1 Haverfordwest County AFC.

Where it pulls both ways. Cardiff Metropolitan University FC are the form side, but the meetings favour Haverfordwest County AFC: in the last ten meetings, Haverfordwest County AFC won four and six were drawn. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 52%; nine of the last ten meetings went under 2.5, and the meetings settle it.

The case against. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to an open game. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 52%.

The read. No side to back. A tight game. Form and the meetings point different ways, so I back neither side. Nine of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Cardiff Metropolitan University FC 1-1 Haverfordwest County AFC (11% chance).

PICKSONE LIST
GOALS
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CAR 4 of 5 (80%) · HAV 10 of 10 (100%)96.1%
Cardiff Metropolitan University FC: under 5.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Haverfordwest County AFC: under 5.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 95% · H2H 6 of 6 · Cardiff Metropolitan University FC: only games against sides at Haverfordwest County AFC's level · Haverfordwest County AFC: only games against sides at Cardiff Metropolitan University FC's level
Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CAR 3 of 5 (60%) · HAV 10 of 10 (100%)91.4%
Cardiff Metropolitan University FC: under 4.5 goals in 3 of 5 at home · Haverfordwest County AFC: under 4.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · H2H 6 of 6 · Cardiff Metropolitan University FC: only games against sides at Haverfordwest County AFC's level · Haverfordwest County AFC: only games against sides at Cardiff Metropolitan University FC's level
HALVES
Under 1.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY
1.44
CAR 4 of 5 (80%) · HAV 9 of 10 (90%)84.6%
Cardiff Metropolitan University FC: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Haverfordwest County AFC: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · H2H 5 of 6 · on half-time scores · Cardiff Metropolitan University FC: only games against sides at Haverfordwest County AFC's level · Haverfordwest County AFC: only games against sides at Cardiff Metropolitan University FC's level
Left off the list: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–1 10.7%
Cardiff Metropolitan… goals →
Haverfordwest County… goals ↓
0-05%
1-08%
2-08%
3-05%
4-03%
5-01%
0-15%
1-111%
2-110%
3-16%
4-13%
5-11%
0-23%
1-26%
2-26%
3-24%
4-22%
5-20.7%
0-31%
1-32%
2-32%
3-31%
4-30.7%
5-30.3%
0-40.3%
1-40.7%
2-40.7%
3-40.4%
4-40.2%
5-40.1%
0-50.1%
1-50.2%
2-50.2%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10
CARDIFF METROPOLITAN UNIVERSITY FCWWLLWWDDLD1.50 PPG
HAVERFORDWEST COUNTY AFCLLLLLWDWWL1.00 PPG
THE NUMBERS
CARDIFF METROPOLITAN UNIVERSITY FC HOMExHAVERFORDWEST COUNTY AFC AWAY
2.10SCORED A GAME0.701.30CONCEDED A GAME1.5030%CLEAN SHEETS10%30%FAILED TO SCORE60%3.67CORNERS A GAME0.001.56CARDS A GAME0.17
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
CARDIFF METROPOLITAN UNIVERSITY FC TO SCORE
–
136 OF 144
NO PRICE YET
The tips call a clear winner in a league averaging 2.9+ goals a game.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
1.67POINTS A GAME1.43+1.44GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.00+3.2SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST–1.2LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.09LEAGUE GAMES7
No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
56%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
37%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
92%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
CARDIFF METROPOLITAN UNIVERSITY FC OR DRAW
92%
VERY GOOD · 80/85
HAVERFORDWEST COUNTY AFC OR DRAW
43%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (9 and 7 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
CARDIFF METROPOLITAN UNIVERSITY FCxHAVERFORDWEST COUNTY AFC
5GAMES52.00SCORED A GAME1.401.20CONCEDED A GAME0.803.2GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.280%OVER 1.5 GOALS60%60%OVER 2.5 GOALS40%60%BOTH SCORE60%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 10
CARDIFF METROPOLITAN UNIVERSITY FC 0 · 0%DRAW 6HAVERFORDWEST COUNTY AFC 4 · 40%
4 of 10BOTH TEAMS SCORED
5 of 10OVER 1.5 GOALS
1 of 10OVER 2.5 GOALS
1 of 10OVER 3.5 GOALS
2023-11-28Cardiff Metropolitan University FC 1 – 1 Haverfordwest County AFC
2023-12-09Cardiff Metropolitan University FC 1 – 1 Haverfordwest County AFC
2024-08-26Cardiff Metropolitan University FC 0 – 0 Haverfordwest County AFC
2024-09-27Cardiff Metropolitan University FC 0 – 1 Haverfordwest County AFC
2025-02-21Cardiff Metropolitan University FC 0 – 1 Haverfordwest County AFC
2025-04-11Cardiff Metropolitan University FC 1 – 1 Haverfordwest County AFC
2025-08-22Cardiff Metropolitan University FC 2 – 2 Haverfordwest County AFC
2025-12-30Cardiff Metropolitan University FC 0 – 0 Haverfordwest County AFC
TRENDS
Cardiff Metropolitan University FC have scored in 70% of their games.
Haverfordwest County AFC have scored in 40% of their games.
Cardiff Metropolitan University FC kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
Haverfordwest County AFC kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.
BUILT FROM
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