Match details. Cymru Premier, Regular Season - 9. Kick-off is Tue 29 Sep, 19:45 Lagos time. It is played at Cyncoed Campus, Cardiff. The referee is R. Kenny.
What's at stake. Cardiff Metropolitan University FC are 9th on 15 points after 10 games, 1 point behind Llandudno, level on points with Airbus UK. A win would take them above Llandudno. Haverfordwest County AFC are 11th on 10 points after 10 games, 5 points behind Airbus UK, 1 point clear of Briton Ferry.
Form. Cardiff Metropolitan University FC have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L D D W. In this competition Cardiff Metropolitan University FC have gone D L D D W W. Haverfordwest County AFC have won three, drawn one and lost six of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W D W. In this competition Haverfordwest County AFC have gone L W W D W L.
The numbers. Cardiff Metropolitan University FC score 2.6 and concede two a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Cardiff Metropolitan University FC average 3.7 corners and 1.6 cards a game. Haverfordwest County AFC score 0.7 and concede 1.5 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and six games without a goal. Haverfordwest County AFC average 0.2 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Cardiff Metropolitan University FC have won none, drawn six and lost four. One of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, two were drawn and Haverfordwest County AFC won two. The last time they met, on 13 Mar 2026, it finished Cardiff Metropolitan University FC 0-1 Haverfordwest County AFC.
Where it pulls both ways. Cardiff Metropolitan University FC are the form side, but the meetings favour Haverfordwest County AFC: in the last ten meetings, Haverfordwest County AFC won four and six were drawn. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 52%; nine of the last ten meetings went under 2.5, and the meetings settle it.
The case against. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to an open game. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 52%.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Form and the meetings point different ways, so I back neither side. Nine of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Cardiff Metropolitan University FC 1-1 Haverfordwest County AFC (11% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).