KRKOR

12:00Mon 28 Sep

URU

URU

Korea Republic vs Uruguay

CLASS A

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THE READ

Match details. An international friendly. Kick-off is Mon 28 Sep, 12:00 Lagos time.

What's at stake. It is a friendly, so no points ride on it.

Form. Korea Republic have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W L W. Uruguay have won two, drawn five and lost three of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D D D W.

The numbers. Korea Republic score 1.8 and concede 0.7 a game in their last six at home, with two clean sheets. Korea Republic average 12.3 shots (4.4 on target), 6.9 corners and 1.2 cards a game, with 68% of the ball. Uruguay score 0.4 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. Uruguay average 13.1 shots (3.6 on target), 6.9 corners and 1.8 cards a game, with 55% of the ball.

Head to head. In the last two meetings Korea Republic have won none, drawn one and lost one. One of the two went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. The last time they met, on 24 Nov 2022, it finished Korea Republic 0-0 Uruguay: Korea Republic had 7 shots to 10, 44% of the ball, two yellow cards.

The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 15%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Korea Republic 0-0 Uruguay (16% chance).

The agreed story. No side to back (Korea Republic the favourite), a tight game.

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Under 3.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

1.22

KOR 96% of 6 · URU 100% of 597%

Korea Republic: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 6 at home · Uruguay: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 96% · each game weighed by who it was against

HALVES

Under 1.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY

1.31

KOR 77% of 6 · URU 100% of 590.2%

Korea Republic: the bet landed in 4 of 6 at home · Uruguay: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 91% · on half-time scores · each game weighed by who it was against

Left off the list: Uruguay or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 0–0 15.5%

Korea Republic goals →

Uruguay goals ↓

0-016%

1-015%

2-08%

3-03%

4-00.8%

5-00.2%

0-112%

1-114%

2-17%

3-12%

4-10.6%

5-10.1%

0-25%

1-26%

2-23%

3-21%

4-20.3%

5-20.1%

0-32%

1-32%

2-30.9%

3-30.3%

4-30.1%

5-30.0%

0-40.3%

1-40.4%

2-40.2%

3-40.1%

4-40.0%

5-40.0%

0-50.1%

1-50.1%

2-50.0%

3-50.0%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

KOREA REPUBLICDDWWWWLWLL1.70 PPG

URUGUAYDLDLWWDDDL1.10 PPG

THE NUMBERS

KOREA REPUBLIC HOMExURUGUAY AWAY

1.50SCORED A GAME0.900.60CONCEDED A GAME0.8040%CLEAN SHEETS40%40%FAILED TO SCORE33%6.90CORNERS A GAME6.881.20CARDS A GAME1.751.37xG1.410.84xG AGAINST0.80

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 2

KOREA REPUBLIC 0 · 0%DRAW 1URUGUAY 1 · 50%

2010-06-26Korea Republic 1 – 2 Uruguay

2022-11-24Korea Republic 0 – 0 Uruguay

TRENDS

Korea Republic have scored in 70% of their games.

Uruguay have scored in 50% of their games.

Korea Republic kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.

Uruguay kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstxG & xGAclean sheetshead to headcornerscards