USA vs Chile
Match details. An international friendly. Kick-off is Wed 30 Sep, 01:00 Lagos time. It is played at CITYPARK.
What's at stake. It is a friendly, so no points ride on it.
Form. USA have won six, drawn one and lost three of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L W W. Chile have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W D L L.
The numbers. USA score two and concede 1.4 a game in their last eight at home, with two clean sheets. USA average 11.5 shots (4.1 on target), 4.7 corners and 1.8 cards a game, with 55% of the ball. Chile score 0.2 and concede two a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and four games without a goal. Chile average 11.0 shots (1.7 on target), 5.7 corners and 2.3 cards a game, with 46% of the ball.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 68% against the records' 37%.
The read. No firm call: USA are the better side, but not at this price. A mixed game. Their goals for and against make USA the likelier winners; USA are the stronger side on form and the table.
The bets. No best bet on this one: too close to call. Predicted score: USA 1-1 Chile (11% chance).
The agreed story. USA or the draw, a mixed game.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).