Levante vs Sevilla
Match details. LaLiga regular season - 8 meets at Estadio Ciudad de Valencia. Kick-off is Mon 12 Oct, 20:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Levante sit 17th on 5 points after 6 games, two points behind Racing Santander and level with Elche. A win would lift them above Racing. Sevilla sit 5th on 13 points after 7 games, two points behind Real Madrid and two clear of Alaves. A win would push them above Real Madrid.
Form. Levante have four wins, two draws and four losses in their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first, are L L D W D. Sevilla have five wins, one draw and four losses in their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first, are L W W D L.
The numbers. Levante score 1.7 and concede 1.8 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and three games without a goal. They average 12.3 shots (5.0 on target), 3.0 corners and 1.6 cards a game, with 40% of the ball. Sevilla score 1.6 and concede one a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. They average 10.1 shots (4.6 on target), 3.3 corners and 2.9 cards a game, with 42% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Levante have won two, drawn one and lost seven. Five of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both sides scored in four. In the last four meetings each side has two wins. The last clash on 23 Apr 2026 ended Levante 2-0 Sevilla, with Levante on eight shots to seven, 43% of the ball and seven yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: Sevilla are the stronger side on form and the table, but both teams' records favour Sevilla; the meetings favour Levante.
The case against. Levante's record still gives them 33% to win. The meetings do not back them.
The read. Sevilla or the draw. A draw is live. A tight game. Sevilla are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Sevilla; the meetings favour Levante. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 44%.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.33, 72% on the records (Levante: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5; Sevilla: under 3.5 goals in 3 of 5 away). Backup: Under 4.5 Goals at 1.12. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Sevilla 1UP (the signs point different ways); Sevilla Over 0.5 goals (Levante's own games don't back it (2 of 5)). Predicted score: Levante 1-1 Sevilla (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).