Match details. Premier League, Regular Season - 6. Kick-off Mon 12 Oct, 20:00 Lagos time. The match is at Coventry Building Society Arena. Referee John Brooks.
What's at stake. Coventry City sit 18th on 3 points after 5 games, level with Bournemouth and 1 point clear of Fulham. A win would lift them above Bournemouth. Newcastle sit 9th on 8 points after 5 games, level with Hull City and 1 point clear of Chelsea. A win would move them above Hull City.
Form. Coventry City have won five, drawn none and lost five of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L L L. Newcastle have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W D W.
The numbers. At home in their last five, Coventry City score 1.8 and concede 2.2 a game, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. They average 10.1 shots (3.7 on target), 4.0 corners and 1.4 cards a game, holding 39% of the ball. Away in their last five, Newcastle score one and concede 1.4 a game, with two clean sheets. Newcastle average 11.6 shots (4.5 on target), 4.4 corners and 1.8 cards a game, holding 49% of the ball.
The case against. Coventry City's record still gives them 22% to win.
The read. Newcastle to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Newcastle the likelier winners; Newcastle are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Newcastle. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 51%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Coventry City Under 1.5 goals (Newcastle's own games don't back it (4 of 8)); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Coventry City 1-2 Newcastle (10% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Double Chance: Draw or NewcastleIN CODES
1.35
COV 6 of 8 (75%) · NEW 4 of 5 (80%)88.2%
Newcastle unbeaten in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Coventry City failed to win 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 78% · Newcastle: only games against sides at Coventry City's level · Coventry City: only games in Newcastle's division
Newcastle or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
COV 8 of 8 (100%) · NEW 4 of 5 (80%)85%
Newcastle: the bet landed in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Coventry City: the bet landed in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · Newcastle: only games against sides at Coventry City's level · Coventry City: only games in Newcastle's division
Newcastle (Draw No Bet)HELD · the odds board 63%
1.59
COV 3 of 5 (60%) · NEW 4 of 5 (80%)84.3%
Newcastle won 3 of 5 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · Coventry City lost 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 70% · Newcastle: only games against sides at Coventry City's level · Coventry City: only games in Newcastle's division · won 5, refunded 1, lost 4
Newcastle win or both teams scoreIN CODES
1.17
COV 7 of 8 (88%) · NEW 4 of 5 (80%)81.9%
Newcastle: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Coventry City: the bet landed in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 84% · Newcastle: only games against sides at Coventry City's level · Coventry City: only games in Newcastle's division
Newcastle or Draw (1UP)IN CODES
1.24
COV 4 of 5 (80%) · NEW 6 of 8 (75%)78.3%
Newcastle scored first 3 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 4 · led or was unbeaten in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Coventry City trailed or failed to win in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Newcastle: only games against sides at Coventry City's level · Coventry City: only games in Newcastle's division
Newcastle to Win Either Half: YesPAGE ONLY
1.58
COV 5 of 8 (62%) · NEW 4 of 5 (80%)71.3%
Newcastle: the bet landed in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Coventry City: the bet landed in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 71% · on half-time scores · Newcastle: only games against sides at Coventry City's level · Coventry City: only games in Newcastle's division
Newcastle or Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.31
COV 6 of 8 (75%) · NEW 4 of 5 (80%)68.8%
Newcastle: the bet landed in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Coventry City: the bet landed in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 78% · Newcastle: only games against sides at Coventry City's level · Coventry City: only games in Newcastle's division
Newcastle 1UPLEANPAGE ONLY
1.51
COV 3 of 5 (60%) · NEW 5 of 8 (62%)67.5%
Newcastle scored first 3 of last 5, led in 3 · led in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Coventry City trailed in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Newcastle: only games against sides at Coventry City's level · Coventry City: only games in Newcastle's division
Newcastle or draw and over 1.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.57
COV 2 of 5 (40%) · NEW 6 of 8 (75%)58.8%
Coventry City: the bet landed in 2 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Newcastle: the bet landed in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 58% · Coventry City: only games in Newcastle's division · Newcastle: only games against sides at Coventry City's level
Newcastle to WinLEANPAGE ONLY
2.14
COV 3 of 8 (38%) · NEW 4 of 5 (80%)55.6%
Newcastle won 3 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Coventry City lost 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 59% · Newcastle: only games against sides at Coventry City's level · Coventry City: only games in Newcastle's division
1X2 - 2UP: NewcastleLEANPAGE ONLY
2.09
COV 2 of 5 (40%) · NEW 3 of 8 (38%)52.5%
Newcastle scored first 3 of last 5, led by 2 or won in 2 · led by 2 or won in 3 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Coventry City trailed by 2 or lost in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Newcastle: only games against sides at Coventry City's level · Coventry City: only games in Newcastle's division
GOALS
Over 1.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.18
COV 2 of 5 (40%) · NEW 8 of 8 (100%)68.5%
Coventry City: over 1.5 goals in 2 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Newcastle: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70% · Coventry City: only games in Newcastle's division · Newcastle: only games against sides at Coventry City's level
NEWCASTLE GOALS
Newcastle Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES
1.18
COV 7 of 8 (88%) · NEW 4 of 5 (80%)80.8%
Newcastle scored in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Coventry City conceded in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 84% · Newcastle: only games against sides at Coventry City's level · Coventry City: only games in Newcastle's division
HALVES
2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5PAGE ONLY
1.20
COV 4 of 5 (80%) · NEW 8 of 8 (100%)90%
Coventry City: the bet landed in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Newcastle: the bet landed in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · on half-time scores · Coventry City: only games in Newcastle's division · Newcastle: only games against sides at Coventry City's level
Left off the list: Coventry City Under 1.5 goals (Newcastle's own games don't back it (4 of 8)); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–29.7%
Coventry City goals →
Newcastle goals ↓
0-07%
1-06%
2-04%
3-01%
4-00.3%
5-00.1%
0-110%
1-112%
2-16%
3-12%
4-10.6%
5-10.1%
0-29%
1-210%
2-25%
3-22%
4-20.5%
5-20.1%
0-35%
1-35%
2-33%
3-31%
4-30.3%
5-30.1%
0-42%
1-42%
2-41%
3-40.4%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.7%
1-50.8%
2-50.4%
3-50.2%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).
FORM · LAST 10
COVENTRY CITYWLLLLWLWWW1.50 PPG
NEWCASTLEWLWDWWDLWD1.80 PPG
THE NUMBERS
COVENTRY CITY HOMExNEWCASTLE AWAY
0.20SCORED A GAME1.802.00CONCEDED A GAME1.8020%CLEAN SHEETS20%80%FAILED TO SCORE0%4.00CORNERS A GAME4.401.40CARDS A GAME1.800.97xG1.071.73xG AGAINST1.83
THE BANK
THE QUALITY READ
0.60POINTS A GAME1.60-1.80GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.00-2.8SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-2.80.6LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.65LEAGUE GAMES5
Newcastle: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference, better form (last 5).
NEWCASTLE 0:2 HANDICAP
–
373 OF 433
NO PRICE YET
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
77%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
61%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
80%
NO · 85/90
COVENTRY CITY OR DRAW
39%
NO · 80/85
NEWCASTLE OR DRAW
72%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (5 and 5 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
COVENTRY CITYxNEWCASTLE
5GAMES50.20SCORED A GAME1.802.00CONCEDED A GAME1.802.2GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.640%OVER 1.5 GOALS100%40%OVER 2.5 GOALS80%0%BOTH SCORE80%2.6CARDS IN THEIR GAMES4.88.6CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES10.4
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
Coventry City have scored in 60% of their games.
Newcastle have scored in 90% of their games.
Coventry City kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
Newcastle kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstxG & xGAclean sheetsleague tableteam newscornerscards