Libertad Loja vs Leones Futbol Club
Match details. LigaPro Primera A, Placement Group - 2. Kick-off is Fri 9 Oct, 19:00 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio Federativo Reina del Cisne, Loja. The referee is Augusto Bergelio Aragon Bautista.
What's at stake. Libertad Loja are 7th on 44 points after 31 games, 4 points clear of Leones del Norte. Leones Futbol Club are 8th on 40 points after 31 games, 4 points behind Libertad, level on points with Guayaquil City FC. Leones Futbol Club have nothing left to play for.
Form. Libertad Loja have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W D L. In this competition Libertad Loja have gone W L W D L W. Leones Futbol Club have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L D W L. In this competition Leones Futbol Club have gone D L D W L L.
The numbers. Libertad Loja score 1.8 and concede one a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. Libertad Loja average 13.8 shots (5.1 on target), 4.5 corners and 2.8 cards a game, with 42% of the ball. Leones Futbol Club score one and concede 1.2 a game in their last six away, with two clean sheets. Leones Futbol Club average 13.5 shots (4.5 on target), 4.2 corners and 2.8 cards a game, with 49% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last two meetings Libertad Loja have won none, drawn one and lost one. One of the two went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. The last time they met, on 4 Jul 2026, it finished Libertad Loja 1-3 Leones Futbol Club: Libertad Loja had 6 shots to 24, 40% of the ball, six yellow cards.
The case against. Leones Futbol Club's record still gives them 26% to win.
The read. Libertad Loja to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Libertad Loja the likelier winners; Libertad Loja are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Libertad Loja. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 44%.
The bets. Best bet: Libertad Loja or Draw at 1.35, 74% on the records (Libertad Loja unbeaten in 4 of 5 at home; Leones Futbol Club failed to win 4 of 6 away). Leave: Libertad Loja or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); 1X2 - 2UP: Libertad Loja (the signs point different ways); Libertad Loja or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Libertad Loja 1-0 Leones Futbol Club (11% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).