Match details. LigaPro Primera A, Championship Group - 2. Kick-off is Sun 11 Oct, 17:30 Lagos time. It is played at Olimpico Atahualpa, Quito. The referee is Patricio Parrao.
What's at stake. CD Universidad Catolica del Ecuador are 3rd on 51 points after 31 games, 3 points behind Macara, 1 point clear of Aucas. A win would take them level on points with Macara. CSD Macara are 2nd on 54 points after 31 games, 23 points behind Independiente del Valle, 3 points clear of Universidad Catolica.
Form. CD Universidad Catolica del Ecuador have won four, drawn four and lost two of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W D D. In this competition CD Universidad Catolica del Ecuador have gone L W W D D W. CSD Macara have won seven, drawn one and lost two of their last ten, 2.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L W W. In this competition CSD Macara have gone W W L W W L.
The numbers. CD Universidad Catolica del Ecuador score 1.9 and concede one a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets. CD Universidad Catolica del Ecuador average 16.1 shots (5.5 on target), 4.2 corners and 0.9 cards a game, with 58% of the ball. CSD Macara score 1.8 and concede 1.3 a game in their last six away, with no clean sheets. CSD Macara average 15.2 shots (5.6 on target), 3.9 corners and 2.4 cards a game, with 46% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings CD Universidad Catolica del Ecuador have won seven, drawn three and lost none. Seven of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in seven. In the last four, CD Universidad Catolica del Ecuador won three and one was drawn. The last time they met, on 18 Aug 2026, it finished CD Universidad Catolica del Ecuador 1-1 CSD Macara: CD Universidad Catolica del Ecuador had 17 shots to 12, 65% of the ball, three yellow cards.
The case against. CSD Macara's record still gives them 33% to win.
The read. CD Universidad Catolica del Ecuador to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make CD Universidad Catolica del Ecuador the likelier winners; both teams' records favour CD Universidad Catolica del Ecuador; the meetings favour CD Universidad Catolica del Ecuador. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 69%. Seven of the last ten meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.26, 77% on the records (CD Universidad Catolica del Ecuador: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 10; CSD Macara: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 6 away). Backup: 2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5 at 1.21. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: CSD Macara or Over 2.5 Goals (the call backs CD Universidad Catolica del Ecuador); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); CSD Macara or Over 1.5 Goals (the call backs CD Universidad Catolica del Ecuador). Predicted score: CD Universidad Catolica del Ecuador 2-1 CSD Macara (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).