Union de Santa Fe vs Defensa y Justicia
Match details. Primera LPF, Clausura - 12. Kick-off is Sat 10 Oct, 01:45 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio 15 de Abril, Santa Fe de la Vera Cruz. The referee is Dario Herrera.
What's at stake. Union de Santa Fe are 10th on 13 points after 11 games, level on points with Estudiantes L.P., 2 points clear of Deportivo Riestra. A win would take them above Estudiantes L.P.. Defensa y Justicia are 3rd on 21 points after 11 games, level on points with Velez Sarsfield, 1 point clear of Boca Juniors. A win would take them above Velez Sarsfield.
Form. Union de Santa Fe have won four, drawn none and lost six of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L W W. In this competition Union de Santa Fe have gone L L L W W W. Defensa y Justicia have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W L W. In this competition Defensa y Justicia have gone W D W L W W.
The numbers. Union de Santa Fe score 2.2 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets. Union de Santa Fe average 13.5 shots (4.1 on target), 3.4 corners and 3.0 cards a game, with 48% of the ball. Defensa y Justicia score one and concede 1.6 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. Defensa y Justicia average 14.0 shots (4.9 on target), 3.9 corners and 2.2 cards a game, with 50% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Union de Santa Fe have won two, drawn three and lost five. Four of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. In the last four, Union de Santa Fe won one, two were drawn and Defensa y Justicia won one. The last time they met, on 21 Mar 2026, it finished Union de Santa Fe 0-2 Defensa y Justicia: Union de Santa Fe had 19 shots to 11, 64% of the ball, five yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 66%; six of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The case against. Union de Santa Fe's record still gives them 37% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to a tight game. Not everything agrees on goals: six of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The read. Defensa y Justicia or the draw. A draw is live. An open game. Defensa y Justicia are the stronger side on form and the table. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 66%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.36, 74% on the records (Union de Santa Fe: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home; Defensa y Justicia: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 away). Backup: Under 1.5 first-half goals at 1.35. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Union de Santa Fe 1-2 Defensa y Justicia (8% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).