CA Aldosivi vs CA Sarmiento Junin
Match details. Primera LPF, Clausura - 12. Kick-off is Fri 9 Oct, 18:30 Lagos time. The game is at Estadio Jose Maria Minella, Mar del Plata. Referee Luis Lobo Medina.
Form. Aldosivi have won two, drawn one and lost seven of their last ten, 0.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L W L. Sarmiento have won five, drawn one and lost four of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D W L W.
The numbers. At home Aldosivi score one and concede 1.3 a game in their last six, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. They average 4.2 corners and 2.8 cards a game. Away Sarmiento score 1.6 and concede 2.2 a game in their last five, with one clean sheet. They average 3.6 corners and 2.9 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 68%.
The case against. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 68%.
The read. No side to back. A draw is live. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side and their goals for and against point to a tight game.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: CA Sarmiento Junin or Under 2.5 Goals (no side to back); CA Aldosivi Under 1.5 goals (CA Sarmiento Junin's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: CA Aldosivi 1-1 CA Sarmiento Junin (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).