CD Everton Vina del Mar vs Deportes La Serena
Deportes La Serena scored under 1.5 in 3 of 5 away · CD Everton Vina del Mar conceded under 1.5 in 3 of 5 at home · both last 10: 60% · H2H 5 of 6 · Deportes La Serena: only games against sides at CD Everton Vina del Mar's level · CD Everton Vina del Mar: only games against sides at Deportes La Serena's level
Match details. Primera Division, Regular Season - 24. Kick-off is Sun 11 Oct, 16:30 Lagos time. It is played at Sausalito, Vina del Mar. The referee is Reinerio Alvarado.
What's at stake. CD Everton Vina del Mar are 4th on 36 points after 23 games, 6 points behind Universidad de Chile, level on points with Palestino. Deportes La Serena are 10th on 30 points after 23 games, 1 point behind Huachipato, 1 point clear of Coquimbo Unido. A win would take them above Huachipato. Deportes La Serena have nothing left to play for, while CD Everton Vina del Mar need the win.
Form. CD Everton Vina del Mar have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W W D. In this competition CD Everton Vina del Mar have gone W L W W D W. Deportes La Serena have won three, drawn four and lost three of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W D W. In this competition Deportes La Serena have gone L W W D W D.
The numbers. CD Everton Vina del Mar score 1.6 and concede 1.8 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets. CD Everton Vina del Mar average 18.0 shots (7.4 on target), 6.1 corners and 1.9 cards a game, with 48% of the ball. Deportes La Serena score 1.6 and concede one a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets. Deportes La Serena average 13.1 shots (4.8 on target), 3.9 corners and 3.1 cards a game, with 46% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last nine meetings CD Everton Vina del Mar have won four, drawn two and lost three. Five of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, CD Everton Vina del Mar won two and Deportes La Serena won two. The last time they met, on 11 Apr 2026, it finished CD Everton Vina del Mar 0-1 Deportes La Serena: CD Everton Vina del Mar had 8 shots to 14, 48% of the ball, six yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 57% against the records' 32%.
The read. No firm call: CD Everton Vina del Mar are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make CD Everton Vina del Mar the likelier winners; CD Everton Vina del Mar are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 53%. Five of the last nine meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.20, 80% on the records (CD Everton Vina del Mar: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home; Deportes La Serena: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 away). Full cover: Deportes La Serena Under 1.5 Goals at 1.37. It wins on every score where the best bet loses. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (CD Everton Vina del Mar are a clear winner, no Unders); CD Everton Vina del Mar Over 1.5 goals (CD Everton Vina del Mar's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); Under 5.5 Goals (CD Everton Vina del Mar are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: CD Everton Vina del Mar 2-1 Deportes La Serena (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).