BULGARIA - PARVA LIGA
13:00Sun 11 Oct
FCD
FD
FK Septemvri Sofia vs FC Dunav Ruse
CLASS D
THE READ
Match details. Parva Liga. Kick-off is Sun 11 Oct, 13:00 Lagos time.
Form. FK Septemvri Sofia have won two, drawn two and lost six of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L D W. FC Dunav Ruse have won one, drawn two and lost seven of their last ten, 0.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L D L.
The numbers. FK Septemvri Sofia score 0.8 and concede two a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. FK Septemvri Sofia average 3.6 corners and 2.9 cards a game. FC Dunav Ruse score 1.2 and concede two a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets. FC Dunav Ruse average 3.5 corners and 2.1 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 75%.
The case against. FC Dunav Ruse's record still gives them 38% to win.
The read. FK Septemvri Sofia to win. Their goals for and against make FK Septemvri Sofia the likelier winners; FK Septemvri Sofia are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour FK Septemvri Sofia.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: FC Dunav Ruse Under 1.5 goals (FK Septemvri Sofia's own games don't back it (2 of 5)). Predicted score: FK Septemvri Sofia 1-0 FC Dunav Ruse (11% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
FK Septemvri Sofia or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
FKS 5 of 5 (100%) · FCD 5 of 5 (100%)93.8%
FK Septemvri Sofia: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · FC Dunav Ruse: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 100% · FK Septemvri Sofia: only games against sides at FC Dunav Ruse's level · FC Dunav Ruse: only games against sides at FK Septemvri Sofia's level
FK Septemvri Sofia or Both Teams ScoreIN CODES
1.27
FKS 3 of 5 (60%) · FCD 5 of 5 (100%)80%
FK Septemvri Sofia: the bet landed in 3 of 5 at home · FC Dunav Ruse: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 85% · FK Septemvri Sofia: only games against sides at FC Dunav Ruse's level · FC Dunav Ruse: only games against sides at FK Septemvri Sofia's level
FK Septemvri Sofia (Draw No Bet)PAGE ONLY
1.57
FKS 2 of 8 (25%) · FCD 4 of 5 (80%)76.4%
FK Septemvri Sofia won 2 of 8 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · FC Dunav Ruse lost 4 of 5 away (draws left out) · both last 10: 56% · FK Septemvri Sofia: only games against sides at FC Dunav Ruse's level · FC Dunav Ruse: only games against sides at FK Septemvri Sofia's level · won 5, refunded 1, lost 4
FK Septemvri Sofia or Draw (1UP)IN CODES
1.24
FKS 3 of 5 (60%) · FCD 3 of 5 (60%)73.3%
FK Septemvri Sofia scored first 1 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 3 · led or was unbeaten in 3 of 5 at home · FC Dunav Ruse trailed or failed to win in 5 of 5 away · FK Septemvri Sofia: only games against sides at FC Dunav Ruse's level · FC Dunav Ruse: only games against sides at FK Septemvri Sofia's level
FK Septemvri Sofia 1UPLEANPAGE ONLY
1.59
FKS 2 of 5 (40%) · FCD 2 of 5 (40%)60%
FK Septemvri Sofia scored first 1 of last 5, led in 2 · led in 2 of 5 at home · FC Dunav Ruse trailed in 5 of 5 away · FK Septemvri Sofia: only games against sides at FC Dunav Ruse's level · FC Dunav Ruse: only games against sides at FK Septemvri Sofia's level
FK Septemvri Sofia to WinLEANPAGE ONLY
2.20
FKS 1 of 5 (20%) · FCD 4 of 5 (80%)50.3%
FK Septemvri Sofia won 1 of 5 at home · FC Dunav Ruse lost 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 45% · FK Septemvri Sofia: only games against sides at FC Dunav Ruse's level · FC Dunav Ruse: only games against sides at FK Septemvri Sofia's level
GOALS
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
FKS 5 of 5 (100%) · FCD 5 of 5 (100%)96.3%
FK Septemvri Sofia: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · FC Dunav Ruse: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 100% · FK Septemvri Sofia: only games against sides at FC Dunav Ruse's level · FC Dunav Ruse: only games against sides at FK Septemvri Sofia's level
Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
FKS 4 of 5 (80%) · FCD 5 of 5 (100%)90.8%
FK Septemvri Sofia: under 4.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · FC Dunav Ruse: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 95% · FK Septemvri Sofia: only games against sides at FC Dunav Ruse's level · FC Dunav Ruse: only games against sides at FK Septemvri Sofia's level
BOTH TEAMS SCORE
Both Teams to Score - YesLEANPAGE ONLY
1.86
FKS 2 of 5 (40%) · FCD 5 of 5 (100%)50.8%
FK Septemvri Sofia: both scored in 2 of 5 at home · FC Dunav Ruse: both scored in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 60% · FK Septemvri Sofia: only games against sides at FC Dunav Ruse's level · FC Dunav Ruse: only games against sides at FK Septemvri Sofia's level
FK SEPTEMVRI SOFIA GOALS
FK Septemvri Sofia Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES
1.28
FKS 3 of 5 (60%) · FCD 5 of 5 (100%)78.5%
FK Septemvri Sofia scored in 3 of 5 at home · FC Dunav Ruse conceded in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 85% · FK Septemvri Sofia: only games against sides at FC Dunav Ruse's level · FC Dunav Ruse: only games against sides at FK Septemvri Sofia's level
Left off the list: FC Dunav Ruse Under 1.5 goals (FK Septemvri Sofia's own games don't back it (2 of 5))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–0 11.2%
FK Septemvri Sofia goals →
FC Dunav Ruse goals ↓
0-08%
1-011%
2-09%
3-05%
4-02%
5-00.6%
0-17%
1-113%
2-19%
3-15%
4-12%
5-10.6%
0-24%
1-26%
2-25%
3-23%
4-21%
5-20.3%
0-31%
1-32%
2-32%
3-30.8%
4-30.3%
5-30.1%
0-40.3%
1-40.5%
2-40.4%
3-40.2%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.1%
1-50.1%
2-50.1%
3-50.0%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).
FORM · LAST 10
FK SEPTEMVRI SOFIALLLDWWLLLD0.80 PPG
FC DUNAV RUSEDLLDLWLLLL0.50 PPG
THE NUMBERS
FK SEPTEMVRI SOFIA HOMExFC DUNAV RUSE AWAY
0.80SCORED A GAME1.001.80CONCEDED A GAME1.9020%CLEAN SHEETS0%3.60CORNERS A GAME3.502.90CARDS A GAME2.10
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
649 OF 684
NO PRICE YET
The league averages 5.0+ cards a game.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
0.71POINTS A GAME0.29-1.00GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-1.00+0.5SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-3.80.8LAST 5: POINTS A GAME0.47LEAGUE GAMES7
FK Septemvri Sofia: the quality side - more shots than it allows.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
87%
VERY GOOD · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
62%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
95%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
FK SEPTEMVRI SOFIA OR DRAW
59%
NO · 80/85
FC DUNAV RUSE OR DRAW
66%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (7 and 7 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
FK SEPTEMVRI SOFIAxFC DUNAV RUSE
5GAMES51.00SCORED A GAME1.001.80CONCEDED A GAME1.802.8GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.880%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%60%OVER 2.5 GOALS60%60%BOTH SCORE60%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
FK Septemvri Sofia have scored in 70% of their games.
FC Dunav Ruse have scored in 70% of their games.
FK Septemvri Sofia kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
FC Dunav Ruse kept a clean sheet in 0% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards