Colorado Rapids vs San Jose Earthquakes
Match details. Us1, Regular Season - 28. Kick-off is Sun 11 Oct, 02:30 Lagos time. It is played at Dick's Sporting Goods Park, Trade City. The referee is Filip Dujic.
What's at stake. Colorado Rapids are 8th on 36 points after 27 games, 2 points behind Seattle Sounders, level on points with Los Angeles Galaxy. A win would take them above Seattle Sounders. San Jose Earthquakes are 4th on 45 points after 27 games, 2 points behind FC Dallas, 1 point clear of Houston Dynamo. A win would take them above FC Dallas.
Team news. Colorado Rapids are without T. Ku-DiPietro (shoulder injury), Z. Steffen (shoulder injury), M. Diop (knee injury), Y. Maziz (injury), T. Ku-DiPietro (shoulder injury), Z. Steffen (shoulder injury). San Jose Earthquakes are without D. Jones (achilles tendon injury), R. Roberts (yellow cards), N. Adimabua (hernia), D. Jones (achilles tendon injury), R. Roberts (yellow cards), N. Adimabua (hernia). R. Roberts is their centre-back.
Form. Colorado Rapids have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D W D L. In this competition Colorado Rapids have gone L D W D L W. San Jose Earthquakes have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W W D. In this competition San Jose Earthquakes have gone W D W W D D.
The numbers. Colorado Rapids score 1.5 and concede 0.5 a game in their last six at home, with five clean sheets. Colorado Rapids average 12.5 shots (4.2 on target), 4.5 corners and 2.2 cards a game, with 54% of the ball. San Jose Earthquakes score 1.2 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. San Jose Earthquakes average 13.6 shots (5.2 on target), 5.4 corners and 2.8 cards a game, with 53% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Colorado Rapids have won five, drawn one and lost four. Four of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. In the last four, Colorado Rapids won two and San Jose Earthquakes won two. The last time they met, on 21 May 2026, it finished Colorado Rapids 2-0 San Jose Earthquakes.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 40%; six of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The case against. San Jose Earthquakes's record still gives them 22% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 40%. Not everything agrees on goals: six of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The read. Colorado Rapids or the draw. A draw is live. An open game. Both teams' records favour Colorado Rapids. Their goals for and against point to an open game.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); 1X2 - 2UP: Colorado Rapids (the signs point different ways); Colorado Rapids to Win Either Half: Yes (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: Colorado Rapids 2-1 San Jose Earthquakes (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).