Austin FC vs Nashville SC
Match details. MLS, Regular Season - 28. Kick-off is Sun 11 Oct, 01:30 Lagos time. It is played at Q2 Stadium, Austin. The referee is Ismail Elfath.
What's at stake. Austin FC are 13th on 31 points after 27 games, 1 point behind San Diego, 2 points clear of Minnesota United FC. A win would take them above San Diego. Nashville SC are 1st on 60 points after 27 games, 12 points clear of Chicago Fire. Austin FC have nothing left to play for.
Team news. Austin FC are without Z. Kolmanic (thigh injury), J. Rosales (yellow cards), Z. Kolmanic (thigh injury), J. Rosales (yellow cards).
Form. Austin FC have won three, drawn five and lost two of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D W D D. In this competition Austin FC have gone D D W D D W. Nashville SC have won six, drawn three and lost one of their last ten, 2.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W D L D. In this competition Nashville SC have gone W W D L D W.
The numbers. Austin FC score 1.4 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets. Austin FC average 10.8 shots (4.0 on target), 4.9 corners and 2.0 cards a game, with 50% of the ball. Nashville SC score 1.2 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets. Nashville SC average 15.1 shots (5.4 on target), 6.5 corners and 1.8 cards a game, with 53% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last five meetings Austin FC have won one, drawn one and lost three. Two of the five went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. In the last four, Austin FC won one, one was drawn and Nashville SC won two. The last time they met, on 2 Oct 2025, it finished Austin FC 1-2 Nashville SC.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; three of the last five meetings went under 2.5.
The read. Nashville SC to win. Their goals for and against make Nashville SC the likelier winners; Nashville SC are the stronger side on form and the table.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Austin FC Under 1.5 goals (Nashville SC's own games don't back it (2 of 5)). Predicted score: Austin FC 0-1 Nashville SC (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).