JAPAN - J2 LEAGUE
09:00Sat 26 Sep
SAG
ST
Montedio Yamagata vs Sagan Tosu
CLASS E
THE READ
Sagan Tosu to win - 1-2 is the likeliest score. Sagan Tosu have won four of the last five meetings. Late goals are the pattern here. Few fouls, few cards. Sagan Tosu have won one of their last six. The worry: Montedio Yamagata come in with the better run, two wins in six. No main bet: nothing we back is priced at 1.15 or more.
PICKS & CONFIDENCEONE PER MARKET
READY TO BET · PRICED
SECOND HALF GOALS
2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5NOT IN CODES
1.24
2 of 2 agree94.6%
Book 81% · Us 95% +14
Backed by: Montedio Yamagata: the bet landed in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Sagan Tosu: the bet landed in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 93% · H2H 5 of 5 · on half-time scores
STRONG · WAITING FOR A PRICE
OR AWAY OVER 1.5
Sagan Tosu or Over 1.5 Goals10-ODDS
no price yet
2 of 2 agree89.3%
Backed by: Sagan Tosu: the bet landed in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Montedio Yamagata: the bet landed in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 86% · H2H 5 of 5
TOTAL GOALS
Over 1.5 Goals10-ODDS
no price yet
3 of 3 agree73.6%
Backed by: Montedio Yamagata: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Sagan Tosu: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 71% · H2H 4 of 5
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
Sagan Tosu win or both teams score10-ODDS
no price yet
1 of 1 agree73.2%
Backed by: Sagan Tosu: the bet landed in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Montedio Yamagata: the bet landed in 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 64% · H2H 5 of 5
SCORELINES
Predicted score
0 – 1 36%
Over 1.5 73.6%
Montedio Yamagata goals →
Sagan Tosu goals ↓
0-00.0%
1-00.0%
2-00.0%
3-00.0%
4-00.0%
5-00.0%
0-136%
1-10.0%
2-10.0%
3-10.0%
4-10.0%
5-10.0%
0-218%
1-222%
2-20.0%
3-20.0%
4-20.0%
5-20.0%
0-36%
1-37%
2-34%
3-30.0%
4-30.0%
5-30.0%
0-42%
1-42%
2-41%
3-40.4%
4-40.0%
5-40.0%
0-50.3%
1-50.4%
2-50.2%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every scoreline's chance from both teams' counted goals a game: Montedio Yamagata score 1.14 and concede 0.86 (last 10, all venues, 7 games), Sagan Tosu score 1.14 and concede 1.29 (last 10, all venues, 7 games). Brighter squares are likelier; the predicted score is lit.
Counted goals alone lean to Montedio Yamagata, but the read calls Sagan Tosu, so only the scores where Sagan Tosu win are shown, rescaled to 100%.
FORM · LAST 7
MONTEDIO YAMAGATAWLWWLLL1.29 PPG
SAGAN TOSUWDLDWLL1.14 PPG
THE NUMBERS
MONTEDIO YAMAGATA HOMExSAGAN TOSU AWAY
1.14SCORED A GAME1.140.86CONCEDED A GAME1.2940%CLEAN SHEETS40%43%FAILED TO SCORE29%
THE BANK
THE QUALITY READ
1.29POINTS A GAME1.14+0.29GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.14-0.2SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST–1.2LAST 5: POINTS A GAME0.87LEAGUE GAMES7
No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
72%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
33%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
98%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
MONTEDIO YAMAGATA OR DRAW
75%
NO · 80/85
SAGAN TOSU OR DRAW
58%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (7 and 7 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
MONTEDIO YAMAGATAxSAGAN TOSU
5GAMES51.20SCORED A GAME1.201.00CONCEDED A GAME1.802.2GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.080%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%40%OVER 2.5 GOALS60%20%BOTH SCORE60%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 5
MONTEDIO YAMAGATA 1 · 20%DRAW 0SAGAN TOSU 4 · 80%
4 of 5BOTH TEAMS SCORED
4 of 5OVER 1.5 GOALS
4 of 5OVER 2.5 GOALS
3 of 5OVER 3.5 GOALS
2015-04-12Montedio Yamagata 0 – 1 Sagan Tosu
2015-08-16Montedio Yamagata 1 – 3 Sagan Tosu
2015-11-14Montedio Yamagata 3 – 4 Sagan Tosu
2025-04-25Montedio Yamagata 1 – 2 Sagan Tosu
2025-08-30Montedio Yamagata 3 – 2 Sagan Tosu
TRENDS
Montedio Yamagata have scored in 70% of their games.
Sagan Tosu have scored in 70% of their games.
Montedio Yamagata kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.
Sagan Tosu kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetshead to headleague table