MTMER

15:00Sat 26 Sep

MAR

Merthyr Town vs Marine FC

CLASS E

THE READ

No firm call on the result; the likeliest score is 1-1. A quiet first half is likely. Marine FC receive more than three a game in cards. Marine FC have won three of their last six. No main bet: nothing we back is priced at 1.15 or more.

PICKS & CONFIDENCEONE PER MARKET

READY TO BET · PRICED

FIRST HALF GOALS

1st Half - GG/NG: NoNOT IN CODES

1.21

2 of 2 agree76.4%

Book 83% · Us 76% -7 price too short

Backed by: Merthyr Town: the bet landed in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Marine FC: the bet landed in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 76% · on half-time scores

SCORELINES

Predicted score

1 – 1 13%

Merthyr Town goals →

Marine FC goals ↓

0-09%

1-010%

2-06%

3-02%

4-00.7%

5-00.2%

0-111%

1-113%

2-17%

3-13%

4-10.8%

5-10.2%

0-27%

1-28%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.5%

5-20.1%

0-33%

1-33%

2-32%

3-30.7%

4-30.2%

5-30.0%

0-40.9%

1-41%

2-40.6%

3-40.2%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.2%

1-50.3%

2-50.2%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every scoreline's chance from both teams' counted goals a game: Merthyr Town score 1 and concede 1.2 (last 10, all venues, 10 games), Marine FC score 1.3 and concede 1.3 (last 10, all venues, 10 games). Brighter squares are likelier; the predicted score is lit.

FORM · LAST 10

MERTHYR TOWNLDDDLWWDDL1.10 PPG

MARINE FCLLLWWLLLWW1.20 PPG

THE NUMBERS

MERTHYR TOWN HOMExMARINE FC AWAY

1.00SCORED A GAME1.301.20CONCEDED A GAME1.3020%CLEAN SHEETS10%5.50CORNERS A GAME4.331.25CARDS A GAME3.33

THE BANK

THE BANKER MENU

OVER 1.5 CARDS

–

543 OF 573

NO PRICE YET

Both sides' last 5 games point to 5.2+ cards.

Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.

THE QUALITY READ

1.44POINTS A GAME0.75+0.22GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.50–SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST–1.6LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.29LEAGUE GAMES8

Merthyr Town: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

70%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

36%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

99%

VERY GOOD · 85/90

MERTHYR TOWN OR DRAW

92%

VERY GOOD · 80/85

MARINE FC OR DRAW

29%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (9 and 8 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

MERTHYR TOWNxMARINE FC

5GAMES51.00SCORED A GAME1.200.80CONCEDED A GAME1.201.8GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.460%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%40%OVER 2.5 GOALS60%60%BOTH SCORE60%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TRENDS

Merthyr Town have scored in 80% of their games.

Marine FC have scored in 60% of their games.

Merthyr Town kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

Marine FC kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards