INTERNATIONAL YOUTH - U21 UEFA EUROPEAN CHAMPIONSHIP, QUALIFICATION
16:30Fri 25 Sep
ESP
SPA
Finland vs Spain
CLASS E
THE BETLIVELY · RESERVE ONLY
76
DOUBLE CHANCE
Class E
Double Chance: Finland or Spain
Finland v Spain
1.20odds
83%book
-7edge
2/2angles
THE READ
No firm call on the result; the likeliest score is 1-1. Finland are unbeaten in their last five, four of them wins. I do not see this being tight. No main bet: nothing we back is priced at 1.15 or more.
Bet: Double Chance: Finland or Spain
WHY — 2 THINGS AGREE, 0 AGAINST
Angles that agree2/2 lit
FIN 7/8
ESP 8/8
Finland saw this bet land in 7 of their last 8 games
Spain saw this bet land in 8 of their last 8 games
PICKS & CONFIDENCEONE PER MARKET
READY TO BET · PRICED
FIRST HALF
1st Half - Double Chance: Draw or SpainNOT IN CODES
1.15
1 of 1 agree83.1%
Book 87% · Us 83% -4 price too short
DOUBLE CHANCE
Double Chance: Finland or SpainMAIN
1.20
2 of 2 agree76.4%
Book 83% · Us 76% -7 price too short
Backed by: An open game is likely: the two sides average 4.0 goals a match between them; Finland drew 1 and Spain drew 0 of their last 10.
SCORELINES
Most likely score
1 – 1 12%
Finland goals →
Spain goals ↓
0-06%
1-06%
2-04%
3-02%
4-00.5%
5-00.1%
0-19%
1-112%
2-17%
3-13%
4-10.8%
5-10.2%
0-28%
1-210%
2-26%
3-22%
4-20.7%
5-20.2%
0-35%
1-35%
2-33%
3-31%
4-30.4%
5-30.1%
0-42%
1-42%
2-41%
3-40.5%
4-40.2%
5-40.0%
0-50.6%
1-50.8%
2-50.4%
3-50.2%
4-50.1%
5-50.0%
Every scoreline's chance from expected goals 1.18 – 1.68. Brighter squares are likelier; the most likely score is lit.
FORM · LAST 8
FINLANDWWWWDWLW2.38 PPG
SPAINWWWWWWWW3.00 PPG
THE NUMBERS
FINLAND HOMExSPAIN AWAY
3.71SCORED A GAME3.710.29CONCEDED A GAME0.2925%BOTH SCORED38%75%CLEAN SHEETS62%7.29CORNERS A GAME10.291.29CARDS A GAME1.71
TRENDS
Finland have scored in 88% of their games.
Spain have scored in 100% of their games.
Finland kept a clean sheet in 75% of their games.
Spain kept a clean sheet in 62% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards