INTERNATIONAL - CONCACAF NATIONS LEAGUE
20:00Fri 25 Sep
GLP
GUA
Bermuda vs Guadeloupe
CLASS A
THE READ
No firm call: the read leans Guadeloupe, but the likeliest score is 1-1. Bermuda have not won any of their last six. Bermuda concede three a game, goals are hard to come by for Guadeloupe, one and a half a game. Bermuda have no wins in their last six. The historical goal rates suggest a higher-scoring game, but the final match read leans under 2.5 goals. The bet: Both Teams to Score - No at 52.8%.
Bet: Both Teams to Score - No · Edge: 2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5
WHY — 2 THINGS AGREE, 0 AGAINST
Angles that agree2/2 lit
GLP CLEAN 62%
GLP 7/10
Guadeloupe keep a clean sheet in 62% of their games
Guadeloupe saw this bet land in 7 of their last 10 games
PICKS & CONFIDENCEONE PER MARKET
READY TO BET · PRICED
FIRST HALF
1st Half - Double Chance: Draw or GuadeloupeNOT IN CODES
1.38
2 of 2 agree80.1%
Book 72% · Us 80% +8
SECOND HALF GOALS
2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5EDGENOT IN CODES
1.26
2 of 2 agree73.9%
Book 79% · Us 74% -5 price too short
Backed by: An open game is likely: the two sides average 3.5 goals a match between them.
COMBINATIONS
Guadeloupe or Any Clean Sheet: Yes
1.52
2 of 2 agree73.6%
Book 66% · Us 74% +8
TEAM GOALS
Guadeloupe Multigoals: 1-3NOT IN CODES
1.40
1 of 1 agree69%
Book 71% · Us 69% -2 price too short
Backed by: Guadeloupe are clearly the stronger side on points per game (1.60 to 0.70).
HALVES
2nd Half - Multigoals: 1-3
1.29
2 of 2 agree68.8%
Book 78% · Us 69% -9 price too short
Backed by: An open game is likely: the two sides average 3.5 goals a match between them.
LEANS · NOT FOR SLIPS
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
Both Teams to Score - NoMAIN
no price yet
2 of 2 agree52.8%
Backed by: Guadeloupe keep a clean sheet in 62% of games and Bermuda score in only 38%.
WHY WE PASS
2-5 Goals — no bet. Guadeloupe saw this bet land in only 2 of their last 10 games. 1 angle argue for it and this one argues against, so it stays off the slip.
2-4 Goals — no bet. Guadeloupe saw this bet land in only 1 of their last 10 games. Nothing on this game argues for it, so it stays off.
SCORELINES
Most likely score
1 – 1 13%
Bermuda goals →
Guadeloupe goals ↓
0-010%
1-08%
2-04%
3-01%
4-00.3%
5-00.1%
0-112%
1-113%
2-16%
3-12%
4-10.4%
5-10.1%
0-210%
1-29%
2-24%
3-21%
4-20.3%
5-20.1%
0-35%
1-35%
2-32%
3-30.7%
4-30.2%
5-30.0%
0-42%
1-42%
2-40.8%
3-40.2%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.5%
1-50.5%
2-50.2%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every scoreline's chance from expected goals 0.94 – 1.48. Brighter squares are likelier; the most likely score is lit.
FORM · LAST 10
BERMUDALLWWLLLLLD0.70 PPG
GUADELOUPEWLDWWWWLLL1.60 PPG
THE NUMBERS
BERMUDA HOMExGUADELOUPE AWAY
1.40SCORED A GAME1.503.10CONCEDED A GAME1.100%CLEAN SHEETS62%
TRENDS
Bermuda have scored in 38% of their games.
Guadeloupe have scored in 88% of their games.
Bermuda kept a clean sheet in 0% of their games.
Guadeloupe kept a clean sheet in 62% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards