SPAIN - PRIMERA FEDERACION
17:15Sun 27 Sep
UDL
UL
Merida AD vs UD Logrones
CLASS D
THE READ
UD Logrones to win - the stats agree: UD Logrones are clearly the stronger side on recent form (2.5 points a game to 1.0); backed by goal difference. Merida AD sit sixteenth, UD Logrones third, Merida AD concede one and a half a game. UD Logrones average two a game. Merida AD have kept a clean sheet in about one game in four. Merida AD's last six are not bad, two wins. Do not switch off, the goals tend to come late. No main bet: nothing we back is priced at 1.09 or more.
PICKS · EVERY MARKETCOUNTED
RESULT
UD Logrones to winCARD ONLYHELD · the odds board 40%
2.50
MER 6/10 · UDL 4/570%
UD Logrones won 4 of 5 away · Merida AD lost 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70%
GOALS 1.5
Over 1.5 goalsCARD ONLY
1.33
MER 7/10 · UDL 4/575%
Merida AD: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · UD Logrones: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 75%
GOALS 2.5
Under 2.5 goalsLEANCARD ONLY
1.68
MER 8/10 · UDL 2/560%
Merida AD: under 2.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · UD Logrones: under 2.5 goals in 2 of 5 away · both last 10: 60%
GOALS 3.5
Under 3.5 goalsIN CODES
1.25
MER 9/10 · UDL 5/595%
Merida AD: under 3.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · UD Logrones: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 95%
BOTH TEAMS SCORE
Both teams score: NoCARD ONLY
1.84
MER 7/10 · UDL 4/571.7%
Merida AD: not both scored in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · UD Logrones: not both scored in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 65%
MERIDA AD GOALS
Merida AD under 1.5 goalsIN CODES
1.41
MER 7/10 · UDL 5/585%
Merida AD scored under 1.5 in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · UD Logrones conceded under 1.5 in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 85%
UD LOGRONES GOALS
UD Logrones over 1.5 goalsLEANCARD ONLY
2.40
MER 4/10 · UDL 4/558.3%
UD Logrones scored over 1.5 in 4 of 5 away · Merida AD conceded over 1.5 in 4 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 55%
FIRST HALF GOALS
First half under 2.5 goalsCARD ONLY
no price yet
MER 9/10 · UDL 5/595%
Merida AD's games: first half under 2.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · UD Logrones's games: first half under 2.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 95% · on half-time scores
CORNERS
Under 11.5 cornersTHINCARD ONLY
no price yet
MER 8/9 · UDL 2/380.6%
Merida AD's games: under 11.5 corners in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · UD Logrones's games: under 11.5 corners in 2 of 3 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 78%
CARDS (YELLOW 1, RED 2)
Over 3.5 cardsTHINCARD ONLY
no price yet
MER 7/9 · UDL 2/373.6%
Merida AD's games: over 3.5 cards in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · UD Logrones's games: over 3.5 cards in 2 of 3 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 72%
SHOTS (BOTH TEAMS)
Not enough counted games
–
UD Logrones: 3 counted games with both sides' shots
Predicted score 2–0 (5.4%, the likeliest score that fits the read and the picks at 70% or more) · agrees with: not UD Logrones to win (held by the odds board), not both score, over 1.5, under 3.5 · could not also fit: the call: UD Logrones win, Merida AD under 1.5
SCORELINES
Predicted score
2 – 0 5%
Merida AD goals →
UD Logrones goals ↓
0-026%
1-017%
2-05%
3-01%
4-00.2%
5-00.0%
0-10.0%
1-128%
2-19%
3-12%
4-10.3%
5-10.0%
0-20.0%
1-20.0%
2-28%
3-22%
4-20.3%
5-20.0%
0-30.0%
1-30.0%
2-30.0%
3-31.0%
4-30.2%
5-30.0%
0-40.0%
1-40.0%
2-40.0%
3-40.0%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.0%
1-50.0%
2-50.0%
3-50.0%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every scoreline's chance from both teams' counted goals a game: Merida AD score 0.9 and concede 1.4 (last 10, all venues, 10 games), UD Logrones score 2 and concede 0.4 (away, 5 games). Brighter squares are likelier; the predicted score is lit.
The odds board holds UD Logrones to win, so the scores where it wins are left out, rescaled to 100%.
FORM · LAST 10
MERIDA ADWLLLDWWLLL1.00 PPG
UD LOGRONESWWWWWLWWWD2.50 PPG
THE NUMBERS
MERIDA AD HOMExUD LOGRONES AWAY
0.90SCORED A GAME1.901.40CONCEDED A GAME0.5020%CLEAN SHEETS50%50%FAILED TO SCORE0%4.56CORNERS A GAME5.674.00CARDS A GAME2.67
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
718 OF 767
NO PRICE YET
The Bank expects 4.5+ cards.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
69%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
50%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
91%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
MERIDA AD OR DRAW
39%
NO · 80/85
UD LOGRONES OR DRAW
68%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (4 and 4 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
TRENDS
Merida AD have scored in 50% of their games.
UD Logrones have scored in 90% of their games.
Merida AD kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
UD Logrones kept a clean sheet in 50% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards