SPAIN - PRIMERA FEDERACION
20:15Fri 25 Sep
REA
RZ
UD Ibiza vs Real Zaragoza
CLASS D
THE READ
No firm call on the result; the likeliest score is 1-1. Real Zaragoza will do the pressing here, seven corners a game. The historical goal rates suggest a higher-scoring game, but the final match read leans under 2.5 goals. Both teams foul, expect bookings. Real Zaragoza have won three of their last five. No main bet: nothing we back is priced at 1.15 or more.
PICKS & CONFIDENCEONE PER MARKET
READY TO BET · PRICED
FIRST HALF
1st Half - Double Chance: Draw or Real ZaragozaNOT IN CODES
1.31
2 of 2 agree78.5%
Book 76% · Us 78% +2
DOUBLE CHANCE
Double Chance: UD Ibiza or Real Zaragoza10-ODDS
1.29
2 of 2 agree75.9%
Book 78% · Us 76% -2 price too short
Backed by: An open game is likely: the two sides average 3.0 goals a match between them; UD Ibiza drew 0 and Real Zaragoza drew 0 of their last 10.
TOTAL GOALS
Over 1.5 Goals10-ODDS
1.28
2 of 2 agree73.8%
Book 78% · Us 74% -4 price too short
Backed by: An open game is likely: the two sides average 3.0 goals a match between them.
STRONG · WAITING FOR A PRICE
CORNERS
Over 5.5 CornersNOT IN CODES
no price yet
85.6%
Backed by: Real Zaragoza own the territory: 7.2 corners a game to 1.3.
CARDS
Over 3.5 CardsNOT IN CODES
no price yet
80.7%
Backed by: A scrappy game is likely: UD Ibiza and Real Zaragoza average 2.3 cards, 3.2 cards a match.
WHY WE PASS
2-5 Goals — no bet. Real Zaragoza saw this bet land in only 1 of their last 4 games. 1 angle argue for it and this one argues against, so it stays off the slip.
2-4 Goals — no bet. Real Zaragoza saw this bet land in only 1 of their last 4 games. 1 angle argue for it and this one argues against, so it stays off the slip.
SCORELINES
Predicted score
1 – 1 11%
Over 1.5 73.8%
UD Ibiza goals →
Real Zaragoza goals ↓
0-05%
1-07%
2-06%
3-03%
4-01%
5-00.3%
0-17%
1-111%
2-18%
3-14%
4-12%
5-10.5%
0-26%
1-28%
2-26%
3-23%
4-21%
5-20.4%
0-33%
1-34%
2-33%
3-32%
4-30.6%
5-30.2%
0-41%
1-42%
2-41%
3-40.6%
4-40.2%
5-40.1%
0-50.3%
1-50.5%
2-50.4%
3-50.2%
4-50.1%
5-50.0%
Every scoreline's chance from both teams' counted goals a game: UD Ibiza score 1.75 and concede 1.5 (last 10, all venues, 4 games), Real Zaragoza score 1.5 and concede 1.25 (last 10, all venues, 4 games). Brighter squares are likelier; the predicted score is lit.
FORM · LAST 4
UD IBIZALWWL1.50 PPG
REAL ZARAGOZALWWW2.25 PPG
THE NUMBERS
UD IBIZA HOMExREAL ZARAGOZA AWAY
1.75SCORED A GAME1.501.50CONCEDED A GAME1.2588%BOTH SCORED38%12%CLEAN SHEETS38%0%FAILED TO SCORE25%1.33CORNERS A GAME7.252.33CARDS A GAME3.25
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
543 OF 573
NO PRICE YET
Both sides' last 5 games point to 5.2+ cards.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
78%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
50%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
72%
NO · 85/90
UD IBIZA OR DRAW
77%
NO · 80/85
REAL ZARAGOZA OR DRAW
34%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (4 and 4 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 4
UD IBIZA 1 · 25%DRAW 2REAL ZARAGOZA 1 · 25%
2 of 4BOTH TEAMS SCORED
2 of 4OVER 1.5 GOALS
2 of 4OVER 2.5 GOALS
1 of 4OVER 3.5 GOALS
2021-08-13UD Ibiza 0 – 0 Real Zaragoza
2022-01-31UD Ibiza 2 – 2 Real Zaragoza
2022-12-03UD Ibiza 1 – 2 Real Zaragoza
2023-05-20UD Ibiza 1 – 0 Real Zaragoza
TRENDS
UD Ibiza have scored in 100% of their games.
Real Zaragoza have scored in 75% of their games.
UD Ibiza kept a clean sheet in 12% of their games.
Real Zaragoza kept a clean sheet in 38% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetshead to headleague tablecornerscards