SPAIN - PRIMERA FEDERACION
15:30Sat 26 Sep
RAC
RC
CD Lugo vs Racing Club de Ferrol
CLASS D
THE BETLIVELY · RESERVE ONLY
78
TOTAL GOALS
Class D
Under 3.5 Goals
CD Lugo v Racing Club de Ferrol
1.17odds
85%book
-7edge
3/3angles
THE READ
No firm call on the result; the likeliest score is 0-0. CD Lugo are unbeaten in their last six, four of them wins. The points-per-game comparison favours CD Lugo, so this is not a one-sided case. The table says third against eighth, Racing Club de Ferrol concede about one a game. CD Lugo struggle for goals, about one a game. The bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 78.3%.
Bet: Under 3.5 Goals
WHY — 3 THINGS AGREE, 0 AGAINST
Angles that agree3/3 lit
CDL CLEAN 60%
CDL 8/10
RAC 7/10
CD Lugo keep a clean sheet in 60% of their games
CD Lugo saw this bet land in 8 of their last 10 games
Racing Club de Ferrol saw this bet land in 7 of their last 10 games
PICKS & CONFIDENCEONE PER MARKET
READY TO BET · PRICED
TOTAL GOALS
Under 3.5 GoalsMAIN
1.17
3 of 3 agree78.3%
Book 85% · Us 78% -7 price too short
Backed by: CD Lugo: under 3.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Racing Club de Ferrol: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 75%
DOUBLE CHANCE
Double Chance: CD Lugo or Draw
1.29
2 of 2 agree78.3%
Book 78% · Us 78% 0
Backed by: CD Lugo unbeaten in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Racing Club de Ferrol failed to win 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 75%
STRONG · WAITING FOR A PRICE
OR HOME UNDER 2.5
CD Lugo or Under 2.5 Goals10-ODDS
no price yet
2 of 2 agree86.7%
Backed by: CD Lugo: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Racing Club de Ferrol: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 80%
FIRST HALF GOALS
1st Half Under 1.5 GoalsNOT IN CODES
no price yet
2 of 2 agree85%
Backed by: CD Lugo: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Racing Club de Ferrol: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 85% · on half-time scores
CARDS
Over 3.5 Cards
no price yet
2 of 2 agree71.4%
Backed by: CD Lugo's games: over 3.5 cards in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Racing Club de Ferrol's games: over 3.5 cards in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 71%
SCORELINES
Most likely score
0 – 0 21%
CD Lugo goals →
Racing Club de Ferrol goals ↓
0-021%
1-012%
2-04%
3-00.9%
4-00.2%
5-00.0%
0-118%
1-113%
2-14%
3-10.9%
4-10.2%
5-10.0%
0-29%
1-26%
2-22%
3-20.4%
4-20.1%
5-20.0%
0-33%
1-32%
2-30.6%
3-30.1%
4-30.0%
5-30.0%
0-40.7%
1-40.5%
2-40.2%
3-40.0%
4-40.0%
5-40.0%
0-50.1%
1-50.1%
2-50.0%
3-50.0%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every scoreline's chance from expected goals 0.66 – 0.96. Brighter squares are likelier; the most likely score is lit.
FORM · LAST 10
CD LUGODLWLWDWDWW1.80 PPG
RACING CLUB DE FERROLWDDDDLDLWW1.40 PPG
THE NUMBERS
CD LUGO HOMExRACING CLUB DE FERROL AWAY
1.00SCORED A GAME1.100.80CONCEDED A GAME1.0060%CLEAN SHEETS40%25%FAILED TO SCORE25%4.29CORNERS A GAME5.712.71CARDS A GAME2.29
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 2
CD LUGO 1 · 50%DRAW 1RACING CLUB DE FERROL 0 · 0%
2025-09-21CD Lugo 2 – 1 Racing Club de Ferrol
2026-02-07CD Lugo 1 – 1 Racing Club de Ferrol
TRENDS
CD Lugo have scored in 60% of their games.
Racing Club de Ferrol have scored in 70% of their games.
CD Lugo kept a clean sheet in 60% of their games.
Racing Club de Ferrol kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetshead to headleague tablecornerscards