URUGUAY - PRIMERA DIVISION
15:00Sat 26 Sep
RAC
RC
CA Progreso vs Racing Club Montevideo
CLASS D
THE BETSTRONG · 10-ODDS · 100-ODDS ·…
85
TOTAL GOALS
Class D
Under 3.5 Goals
CA Progreso v Racing Club Montevideo
1.21odds
83%book
+2edge
2/2angles
THE READ
No firm call on the result; the likeliest score is 1-1. The points-per-game comparison favours Racing Club Montevideo, so this is not a one-sided case. They are sixth, CA Progreso are tenth, CA Progreso concede about one a game. Racing Club Montevideo manage about one a game. CA Progreso have kept a clean sheet in about one game in six. CA Progreso have three wins from six. The bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 84.6%.
Bet: Under 3.5 Goals
WHY — 2 THINGS AGREE, 0 AGAINST
Angles that agree2/2 lit
CAP 9/10
RAC 8/10
CA Progreso saw this bet land in 9 of their last 10 games
Racing Club Montevideo saw this bet land in 8 of their last 10 games
PICKS & CONFIDENCEONE PER MARKET
READY TO BET · PRICED
TOTAL GOALS
Under 3.5 GoalsMAIN10-ODDS
1.21
2 of 2 agree84.6%
Book 83% · Us 85% +2
Backed by: CA Progreso: under 3.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Racing Club Montevideo: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 85% · H2H 5 of 6
STRONG · WAITING FOR A PRICE
FIRST HALF GOALS
1st Half Under 1.5 GoalsNOT IN CODES
no price yet
2 of 2 agree85.8%
Backed by: CA Progreso: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Racing Club Montevideo: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 90% · H2H 5 of 6 · on half-time scores
OR AWAY UNDER 2.5
Racing Club Montevideo or Under 2.5 GoalsNOT IN CODES
no price yet
2 of 2 agree85.8%
Backed by: Racing Club Montevideo: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · CA Progreso: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · H2H 5 of 6
TEAM GOALS
CA Progreso Under 1.5 goals10-ODDS
no price yet
2 of 2 agree84.6%
Backed by: CA Progreso scored under 1.5 in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Racing Club Montevideo conceded under 1.5 in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 85% · H2H 5 of 6
SCORELINES
Predicted score
0 – 0 21%
CA Progreso goals →
Racing Club Montevideo goals ↓
0-021%
1-016%
2-06%
3-01%
4-00.3%
5-00.0%
0-117%
1-113%
2-15%
3-11%
4-10.2%
5-10.0%
0-27%
1-25%
2-22%
3-20.5%
4-20.1%
5-20.0%
0-32%
1-31%
2-30.5%
3-30.1%
4-30.0%
5-30.0%
0-40.4%
1-40.3%
2-40.1%
3-40.0%
4-40.0%
5-40.0%
0-50.1%
1-50.0%
2-50.0%
3-50.0%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every scoreline's chance from both teams' counted goals a game: CA Progreso score 0.7 and concede 1.2 (last 10, all venues, 10 games), Racing Club Montevideo score 0.4 and concede 0.8 (away, 5 games). Brighter squares are likelier; the predicted score is lit.
FORM · LAST 10
CA PROGRESOLWLLLLWWLW1.20 PPG
RACING CLUB MONTEVIDEODLWDWDWLWD1.60 PPG
THE NUMBERS
CA PROGRESO HOMExRACING CLUB MONTEVIDEO AWAY
0.70SCORED A GAME1.001.20CONCEDED A GAME0.7020%CLEAN SHEETS40%45%FAILED TO SCORE24%4.07CORNERS A GAME5.383.24CARDS A GAME2.93
THE BANK
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
37%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
41%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
93%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
CA PROGRESO OR DRAW
81%
OKAY · 80/85
RACING CLUB MONTEVIDEO OR DRAW
66%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (4 and 6 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 10
CA PROGRESO 3 · 30%DRAW 2RACING CLUB MONTEVIDEO 5 · 50%
5 of 10BOTH TEAMS SCORED
7 of 10OVER 1.5 GOALS
5 of 10OVER 2.5 GOALS
2 of 10OVER 3.5 GOALS
2019-10-09CA Progreso 2 – 1 Racing Club Montevideo
2022-05-22CA Progreso 0 – 2 Racing Club Montevideo
2022-08-14CA Progreso 1 – 2 Racing Club Montevideo
2024-03-10CA Progreso 4 – 3 Racing Club Montevideo
2024-07-07CA Progreso 3 – 2 Racing Club Montevideo
2024-09-21CA Progreso 0 – 1 Racing Club Montevideo
2025-03-30CA Progreso 0 – 1 Racing Club Montevideo
2025-06-22CA Progreso 0 – 3 Racing Club Montevideo
TRENDS
CA Progreso have scored in 50% of their games.
Racing Club Montevideo have scored in 60% of their games.
CA Progreso kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
Racing Club Montevideo kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetshead to headleague tablecornerscards