ITALY - SERIE C, GROUP A
13:30Sat 26 Sep
ACT
AT
US Pergolettese Crema vs AC Trento
CLASS E
THE BETSTRONG · 10-ODDS · 100-ODDS ·…
85
TOTAL GOALS
Class E
Under 3.5 Goals
US Pergolettese Crema v AC Trento
1.23odds
81%book
+4edge
4/4angles
THE READ
No firm call on the result; the likeliest score is 0-0. The points-per-game comparison favours AC Trento, so this is not a one-sided case. The table says third against fifteenth, US Pergolettese Crema concede well under one a game. AC Trento do not score much, about one a game. US Pergolettese Crema have one wins in their last six. A low-scoring one for me. The bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 85.0%.
Bet: Under 3.5 Goals
WHY — 4 THINGS AGREE, 0 AGAINST
Angles that agree4/4 lit
USP CLEAN 60%
ACT CLEAN 50%
USP 9/10
ACT 8/10
US Pergolettese Crema keep a clean sheet in 60% of their games
AC Trento keep a clean sheet in 50% of their games
US Pergolettese Crema saw this bet land in 9 of their last 10 games
AC Trento saw this bet land in 8 of their last 10 games
PICKS & CONFIDENCEONE PER MARKET
READY TO BET · PRICED
TOTAL GOALS
Under 3.5 GoalsMAIN10-ODDS
1.23
4 of 4 agree85%
Book 81% · Us 85% +4
Backed by: US Pergolettese Crema: under 3.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · AC Trento: under 3.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85%
OR AWAY UNDER 2.5
AC Trento or Under 2.5 GoalsNOT IN CODES
1.13
2 of 2 agree80%
Book 88% · Us 80% -8 price too short
Backed by: AC Trento: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · US Pergolettese Crema: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80%
TEAM GOALS
US Pergolettese Crema Under 1.5 goals10-ODDS
1.24
2 of 2 agree80%
Book 81% · Us 80% -1 price too short
Backed by: US Pergolettese Crema scored under 1.5 in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · AC Trento conceded under 1.5 in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80%
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
Both Teams to Score - No10-ODDS
1.71
3 of 3 agree70%
Book 58% · Us 70% +12
Backed by: US Pergolettese Crema: not both scored in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · AC Trento: not both scored in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70%
STRONG · WAITING FOR A PRICE
FIRST HALF GOALS
1st Half Under 1.5 GoalsNOT IN CODES
no price yet
2 of 2 agree75%
Backed by: US Pergolettese Crema: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · AC Trento: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · on half-time scores
SCORELINES
Predicted score
0 – 0 20%
US Pergolettese Crema goals →
AC Trento goals ↓
0-020%
1-014%
2-05%
3-01%
4-00.2%
5-00.0%
0-118%
1-113%
2-14%
3-11%
4-10.2%
5-10.0%
0-28%
1-26%
2-22%
3-20.5%
4-20.1%
5-20.0%
0-32%
1-32%
2-30.6%
3-30.1%
4-30.0%
5-30.0%
0-40.6%
1-40.4%
2-40.1%
3-40.0%
4-40.0%
5-40.0%
0-50.1%
1-50.1%
2-50.0%
3-50.0%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every scoreline's chance from both teams' counted goals a game: US Pergolettese Crema score 0.7 and concede 0.6 (last 10, all venues, 10 games), AC Trento score 1.2 and concede 0.7 (last 10, all venues, 10 games). Brighter squares are likelier; the predicted score is lit.
FORM · LAST 10
US PERGOLETTESE CREMADDWDLLDWDD1.20 PPG
AC TRENTODLWWDLWDDW1.60 PPG
THE NUMBERS
US PERGOLETTESE CREMA HOMExAC TRENTO AWAY
0.70SCORED A GAME1.200.60CONCEDED A GAME0.7060%CLEAN SHEETS50%2.40CORNERS A GAME4.332.00CARDS A GAME1.67
THE BANK
THE QUALITY READ
1.20POINTS A GAME2.00+0.00GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+1.00+0.4SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+7.21.2LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.85LEAGUE GAMES6
AC Trento: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference, more shots than it allows.
AC TRENTO 0:2 HANDICAP
–
373 OF 433
NO PRICE YET
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
22%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
22%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
99%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
US PERGOLETTESE CREMA OR DRAW
76%
NO · 80/85
AC TRENTO OR DRAW
87%
VERY GOOD · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (5 and 6 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
US PERGOLETTESE CREMAxAC TRENTO
5GAMES50.20SCORED A GAME1.400.20CONCEDED A GAME0.400.4GOALS IN THEIR GAMES1.80%OVER 1.5 GOALS40%0%OVER 2.5 GOALS40%0%BOTH SCORE20%4.2CARDS IN THEIR GAMES3.86.4CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES7.0
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
US Pergolettese Crema have scored in 40% of their games.
AC Trento have scored in 60% of their games.
US Pergolettese Crema kept a clean sheet in 60% of their games.
AC Trento kept a clean sheet in 50% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards