INTERNATIONAL - AFRICA CUP OF NATIONS QUALIFICATION
20:00Fri 25 Sep
GAB
GAB
Morocco vs Gabon
CLASS A
THE READ
No firm call: the read leans Morocco, but the likeliest score is 1-1. Three of the last six meetings were draws. Not much gets past Gabon, one and a half a game, Morocco average nearly two a game. Morocco come in with four wins from their last six. Not much before half time, if the pattern holds. Morocco are the ones who will be fouling and getting booked. No main bet: nothing we back is priced at 1.15 or more.
PICKS & CONFIDENCEONE PER MARKET
READY TO BET · PRICED
TOTAL GOALS
1-5 GoalsNOT IN CODES
1.08
2 of 2 agree85.6%
Book 93% · Us 86% -7 price too short
STRONG · WAITING FOR A PRICE
TEAM GOALS
Morocco Over 0.5 GoalsNOT IN CODES
no price yet
2 of 2 agree84.6%
Backed by: Morocco are clearly the stronger side on points per game (2.30 to 1.60).
LEANS · NOT FOR SLIPS
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
Both Teams to Score - YesNOT IN CODES
no price yet
2 of 2 agree50%
Backed by: Gabon score in 88% of their games and Morocco keep a clean sheet in only 38%.
WHY WE PASS
Gabon Under 1.5 goals — no bet. Gabon saw this bet land in only 3 of their last 10 games. 1 angle argue for it and this one argues against, so it stays off the slip.
SCORELINES
Predicted score
1 – 1 11%
Both score 50%
Morocco goals →
Gabon goals ↓
0-05%
1-08%
2-07%
3-04%
4-02%
5-00.5%
0-16%
1-111%
2-19%
3-15%
4-12%
5-10.7%
0-24%
1-28%
2-26%
3-24%
4-22%
5-20.5%
0-32%
1-34%
2-33%
3-32%
4-30.7%
5-30.2%
0-40.7%
1-41%
2-41%
3-40.6%
4-40.3%
5-40.1%
0-50.2%
1-50.3%
2-50.3%
3-50.2%
4-50.1%
5-50.0%
Every scoreline's chance from both teams' counted goals a game: Morocco score 1.8 and concede 0.6 (last 10, all venues, 10 games), Gabon score 2.2 and concede 1.6 (away, 5 games). Brighter squares are likelier; the predicted score is lit.
FORM · LAST 10
MOROCCOWDWWWDWWWL2.30 PPG
GABONWWWDWWLLLL1.60 PPG
THE NUMBERS
MOROCCO HOMExGABON AWAY
1.80SCORED A GAME2.000.60CONCEDED A GAME1.4038%CLEAN SHEETS12%4.75CORNERS A GAME3.671.25CARDS A GAME1.33
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 6
MOROCCO 3 · 50%DRAW 3GABON 0 · 0%
3 of 6BOTH TEAMS SCORED
4 of 6OVER 1.5 GOALS
4 of 6OVER 2.5 GOALS
3 of 6OVER 3.5 GOALS
2016-01-16Morocco 0 – 0 Gabon
2016-10-08Morocco 0 – 0 Gabon
2017-10-07Morocco 3 – 0 Gabon
2022-01-18Morocco 2 – 2 Gabon
2024-09-06Morocco 4 – 1 Gabon
2024-11-15Morocco 5 – 1 Gabon
TRENDS
Morocco have scored in 88% of their games.
Gabon have scored in 88% of their games.
Morocco kept a clean sheet in 38% of their games.
Gabon kept a clean sheet in 12% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstxG & xGAclean sheetshead to headleague tablecornerscards