INTERNATIONAL - AFRICA CUP OF NATIONS QUALIFICATION
17:00Fri 25 Sep
MAD
MAD
Nigeria vs Madagascar
CLASS A
THE READ
No firm call: the read leans Nigeria, but the likeliest score is 1-1. Nigeria have won their last six. Madagascar concede a little over one a game, Nigeria average nearly two and a half a game. Six wins from six for Nigeria lately. There will be goals in this. Slow start likely, first-half goals have been rare for both. Nigeria average booked, two a game. The bet: Over 2.5 Goals at 52.8%.
Bet: Over 2.5 Goals
WHY — 1 THING AGREE, 0 AGAINST
Angles that agree1/1 lit
NGA 6/8
Nigeria saw this bet land in 6 of their last 8 games
PICKS & CONFIDENCEONE PER MARKET
READY TO BET · PRICED
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
Nigeria or Both Teams ScoreNOT IN CODES
1.06
2 of 2 agree89.4%
Book 94% · Us 89% -5 price too short
Backed by: Madagascar score in 88% of their games and Nigeria keep a clean sheet in only 25%.
SECOND HALF GOALS
2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5NOT IN CODES
1.23
2 of 2 agree80.8%
Book 81% · Us 81% 0
Backed by: A fast start is likely: the two sides score 1.5 first-half goals a match between them; An open game is likely: the two sides average 3.1 goals a match between them.
TOTAL GOALS
Over 1.5 GoalsNOT IN CODES
1.24
2 of 2 agree77.5%
Book 81% · Us 78% -3 price too short
Backed by: An open game is likely: the two sides average 3.1 goals a match between them.
OR HOME OVER 2.5
Nigeria or Over 2.5 Goals10-ODDS
1.13
2 of 2 agree75.9%
Book 88% · Us 76% -12 price too short
Backed by: An open game is likely: the two sides average 3.1 goals a match between them.
HALVES
2nd Half - Multigoals: 1-310-ODDS
1.29
2 of 2 agree72.3%
Book 78% · Us 72% -6 price too short
Backed by: A fast start is likely: the two sides score 1.5 first-half goals a match between them; An open game is likely: the two sides average 3.1 goals a match between them.
FIRST HALF GOALS
Over 0.5 first-half goalsNOT IN CODES
1.30
2 of 2 agree67%
Book 77% · Us 67% -10 price too short
Backed by: A fast start is likely: the two sides score 1.5 first-half goals a match between them.
STRONG · WAITING FOR A PRICE
OR HOME OVER 1.5
Nigeria or Over 1.5 Goals10-ODDS
no price yet
2 of 2 agree89.1%
Backed by: An open game is likely: the two sides average 3.1 goals a match between them.
TEAM GOALS
Nigeria Over 0.5 GoalsNOT IN CODES
no price yet
2 of 2 agree87.8%
Backed by: Nigeria are clearly the stronger side on points per game (2.75 to 1.60).
CARDS
Over 1.5 CardsNOT IN CODES
no price yet
1 of 1 agree72.6%
Backed by: A scrappy game is likely: Nigeria average 18 fouls a match.
WHY WE PASS
Nigeria Over 1.5 goals — no bet. Madagascar saw this bet land in only 3 of their last 10 games. 1 angle argue for it and this one argues against, so it stays off the slip.
SCORELINES
Predicted score
1 – 1 10%
Over 1.5 77.5%Both score 52.6%
Nigeria goals →
Madagascar goals ↓
0-05%
1-09%
2-09%
3-06%
4-03%
5-01%
0-15%
1-110%
2-110%
3-16%
4-13%
5-11%
0-23%
1-26%
2-26%
3-24%
4-22%
5-20.7%
0-31%
1-32%
2-32%
3-31%
4-30.7%
5-30.3%
0-40.3%
1-40.6%
2-40.6%
3-40.4%
4-40.2%
5-40.1%
0-50.1%
1-50.1%
2-50.1%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every scoreline's chance from both teams' counted goals a game: Nigeria score 2.62 and concede 0.75 (last 10, all venues, 8 games), Madagascar score 1.5 and concede 1.3 (last 10, all venues, 10 games). Brighter squares are likelier; the predicted score is lit.
FORM · LAST 10
NIGERIADWWWWWWW2.75 PPG
MADAGASCARLDLWWLWWWL1.60 PPG
THE NUMBERS
NIGERIA HOMExMADAGASCAR AWAY
2.62SCORED A GAME1.500.75CONCEDED A GAME1.3025%CLEAN SHEETS25%
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 1
NIGERIA 0 · 0%DRAW 0MADAGASCAR 1 · 100%
2019-06-30Nigeria 0 – 2 Madagascar
TRENDS
Nigeria have scored in 100% of their games.
Madagascar have scored in 88% of their games.
Nigeria kept a clean sheet in 25% of their games.
Madagascar kept a clean sheet in 25% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetshead to headleague tablecornerscards