INTERNATIONAL - AFRICA CUP OF NATIONS QUALIFICATION
17:00Fri 25 Sep
SSD
SS
Malawi vs South Sudan
CLASS A
THE READ
No firm call on the result; the likeliest score is 0-0. Malawi have won two of the last three meetings. South Sudan concede one and a half a game, goals are hard to come by for Malawi, well under one a game. One wins from six for Malawi lately. A low-scoring one for me. Slow start likely, first-half goals have been rare for both. No main bet: nothing we back is priced at 1.15 or more.
PICKS & CONFIDENCEONE PER MARKET
READY TO BET · PRICED
FIRST HALF GOALS
Under 2.5 first-half goalsNOT IN CODES
1.06
2 of 2 agree99%
Book 94% · Us 99% +5
Backed by: A slow start is likely: the two sides score 0.2 first-half goals a match between them; A tight game is likely: the two sides average 1.9 goals a match between them.
FIRST HALF
1st Half - Double Chance: Malawi or DrawNOT IN CODES
1.13
2 of 2 agree88.5%
Book 88% · Us 88% 0
DOUBLE CHANCE
Double Chance: Malawi or DrawNOT IN CODES
1.15
1 of 1 agree84.5%
Book 87% · Us 84% -3 price too short
Backed by: Malawi have an edge on points per game (0.80 to 0.60).
COMBINATIONS
Malawi or Any Clean Sheet: Yes10-ODDS
1.19
2 of 2 agree84.5%
Book 84% · Us 84% 0
SCORELINES
Predicted score
0 – 0 16%
Malawi goals →
South Sudan goals ↓
0-017%
1-013%
2-05%
3-01%
4-00.3%
5-00.0%
0-117%
1-113%
2-15%
3-11%
4-10.3%
5-10.0%
0-28%
1-27%
2-23%
3-20.7%
4-20.1%
5-20.0%
0-33%
1-32%
2-30.9%
3-30.2%
4-30.0%
5-30.0%
0-40.7%
1-40.6%
2-40.2%
3-40.1%
4-40.0%
5-40.0%
0-50.1%
1-50.1%
2-50.0%
3-50.0%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every scoreline's chance from both teams' counted goals a game: Malawi score 0.6 and concede 1 (at home, 5 games), South Sudan score 1 and concede 1 (away, 6 games). Brighter squares are likelier; the predicted score is lit.
FORM · LAST 10
MALAWILLWLLDLWDL0.80 PPG
SOUTH SUDANLLDLDLDLWL0.60 PPG
THE NUMBERS
MALAWI HOMExSOUTH SUDAN AWAY
0.50SCORED A GAME0.701.10CONCEDED A GAME1.6025%CLEAN SHEETS38%
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 3
MALAWI 2 · 67%DRAW 0SOUTH SUDAN 1 · 33%
0 of 3BOTH TEAMS SCORED
1 of 3OVER 1.5 GOALS
0 of 3OVER 2.5 GOALS
0 of 3OVER 3.5 GOALS
2015-11-27Malawi 0 – 2 South Sudan
2019-11-13Malawi 1 – 0 South Sudan
2021-03-24Malawi 1 – 0 South Sudan
TRENDS
Malawi have scored in 50% of their games.
South Sudan have scored in 38% of their games.
Malawi kept a clean sheet in 25% of their games.
South Sudan kept a clean sheet in 38% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetshead to headleague table