USA - USL CHAMPIONSHIP
02:00Sun 27 Sep
SAC
SR
New Mexico United vs Sacramento Republic FC
CLASS E
THE READ
No firm call on the result; the likeliest score is 1-1. Sacramento Republic FC have won six of the last ten meetings. New Mexico United are the ones who will be fouling and getting booked. Sacramento Republic FC are unbeaten in their last six, two of them wins. No main bet: nothing we back is priced at 1.15 or more.
PICKS & CONFIDENCEONE PER MARKET
STRONG · WAITING FOR A PRICE
OR HOME OVER 1.5
New Mexico United or Over 1.5 Goals10-ODDS
no price yet
1 of 1 agree83.3%
Backed by: New Mexico United: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Sacramento Republic FC: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 70% · H2H 5 of 6
TOTAL GOALS
Under 3.5 Goals10-ODDS
no price yet
4 of 4 agree74.2%
Backed by: New Mexico United: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Sacramento Republic FC: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 70% · H2H 4 of 6
TEAM GOALS
New Mexico United Over 0.5 goals10-ODDS
no price yet
1 of 2 agree73.8%
Backed by: New Mexico United scored in 5 of 5 at home · Sacramento Republic FC conceded in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 65% · H2H 3 of 6
SCORELINES
Predicted score
1 – 0 14%
New Mexico United goals →
Sacramento Republic FC goals ↓
0-012%
1-013%
2-07%
3-03%
4-00.7%
5-00.2%
0-112%
1-113%
2-17%
3-13%
4-10.7%
5-10.2%
0-26%
1-27%
2-24%
3-21%
4-20.4%
5-20.1%
0-32%
1-32%
2-31%
3-30.5%
4-30.1%
5-30.0%
0-40.5%
1-40.6%
2-40.3%
3-40.1%
4-40.0%
5-40.0%
0-50.1%
1-50.1%
2-50.1%
3-50.0%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every scoreline's chance from both teams' counted goals a game: New Mexico United score 1.4 and concede 1 (at home, 5 games), Sacramento Republic FC score 1 and concede 0.8 (away, 5 games). Brighter squares are likelier; the predicted score is lit.
FORM · LAST 10
NEW MEXICO UNITEDWWWDWLWDDD1.90 PPG
SACRAMENTO REPUBLIC FCWWLDWDDDWD1.70 PPG
THE NUMBERS
NEW MEXICO UNITED HOMExSACRAMENTO REPUBLIC FC AWAY
1.80SCORED A GAME1.401.20CONCEDED A GAME0.6040%CLEAN SHEETS50%25%FAILED TO SCORE25%3.79CORNERS A GAME5.582.92CARDS A GAME1.92
THE BANK
THE QUALITY READ
2.08POINTS A GAME1.75+0.83GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.75-3.4SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST–1.2LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.412LEAGUE GAMES12
No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
58%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
51%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
85%
NO · 85/90
NEW MEXICO UNITED OR DRAW
84%
OKAY · 80/85
SACRAMENTO REPUBLIC FC OR DRAW
60%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (12 and 12 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
NEW MEXICO UNITEDxSACRAMENTO REPUBLIC FC
6GAMES61.50SCORED A GAME1.001.00CONCEDED A GAME0.832.5GOALS IN THEIR GAMES1.867%OVER 1.5 GOALS67%67%OVER 2.5 GOALS17%67%BOTH SCORE67%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 10
NEW MEXICO UNITED 3 · 30%DRAW 1SACRAMENTO REPUBLIC FC 6 · 60%
3 of 10BOTH TEAMS SCORED
7 of 10OVER 1.5 GOALS
5 of 10OVER 2.5 GOALS
2 of 10OVER 3.5 GOALS
2022-08-04New Mexico United 1 – 2 Sacramento Republic FC
2022-10-23New Mexico United 0 – 2 Sacramento Republic FC
2023-07-23New Mexico United 3 – 0 Sacramento Republic FC
2023-09-21New Mexico United 0 – 0 Sacramento Republic FC
2023-10-22New Mexico United 0 – 1 Sacramento Republic FC
2024-09-19New Mexico United 3 – 1 Sacramento Republic FC
2024-09-30New Mexico United 0 – 4 Sacramento Republic FC
2025-03-09New Mexico United 1 – 2 Sacramento Republic FC
TRENDS
New Mexico United have scored in 80% of their games.
Sacramento Republic FC have scored in 70% of their games.
New Mexico United kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.
Sacramento Republic FC kept a clean sheet in 50% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetshead to headleague tablecornerscards