NETHERLANDS - EERSTE DIVISIE
19:00Sat 26 Sep
FCE
FE
NAC Breda vs FC Eindhoven
CLASS E
THE READ
No firm call on the result; the likeliest score is 1-1. Three of the last six meetings were draws. The separate strength comparison favours FC Eindhoven, so this is not a one-sided case. The table says fifth against thirteenth, NAC Breda are open at the back, two a game. FC Eindhoven struggle for goals, a little over one a game. No main bet: nothing we back is priced at 1.15 or more.
PICKS & CONFIDENCEONE PER MARKET
READY TO BET · PRICED
TOTAL GOALS
Over 1.5 Goals10-ODDS
1.12
2 of 2 agree84.6%
Book 89% · Us 85% -4 price too short
Backed by: NAC Breda: over 1.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · FC Eindhoven: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · H2H 5 of 6
OR AWAY OVER 2.5
FC Eindhoven or Over 2.5 GoalsNOT IN CODES
1.31
2 of 2 agree84.2%
Book 76% · Us 84% +8
Backed by: FC Eindhoven: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · NAC Breda: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · H2H 4 of 6
FIRST HALF GOALS
Over 0.5 first-half goalsNOT IN CODES
1.19
2 of 2 agree80.8%
Book 84% · Us 81% -3 price too short
Backed by: NAC Breda: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · FC Eindhoven: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · H2H 5 of 6 · on half-time scores
SECOND HALF GOALS
2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5NOT IN CODES
1.13
2 of 2 agree80%
Book 88% · Us 80% -8 price too short
Backed by: NAC Breda: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · FC Eindhoven: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · H2H 3 of 6 · on half-time scores
STRONG · WAITING FOR A PRICE
OR AWAY OVER 1.5
FC Eindhoven or Over 1.5 Goals2-ODDS
no price yet
2 of 2 agree92.1%
Backed by: FC Eindhoven: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · NAC Breda: the bet landed in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 95% · H2H 5 of 6
CORNERS
Over 7.5 Corners10-ODDS
no price yet
1 of 1 agree75%
Backed by: NAC Breda's games: over 7.5 corners in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · FC Eindhoven's games: over 7.5 corners in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75%
SCORELINES
Predicted score
1 – 1 9%
Over 1.5 84.6%
NAC Breda goals →
FC Eindhoven goals ↓
0-03%
1-06%
2-05%
3-03%
4-01%
5-00.5%
0-15%
1-19%
2-19%
3-15%
4-12%
5-10.9%
0-24%
1-28%
2-27%
3-24%
4-22%
5-20.7%
0-32%
1-34%
2-34%
3-32%
4-31%
5-30.4%
0-40.9%
1-42%
2-42%
3-41.0%
4-40.5%
5-40.2%
0-50.3%
1-50.6%
2-50.5%
3-50.3%
4-50.2%
5-50.1%
Every scoreline's chance from both teams' counted goals a game: NAC Breda score 1.8 and concede 2 (last 10, all venues, 10 games), FC Eindhoven score 1.3 and concede 1.9 (last 10, all venues, 10 games). Brighter squares are likelier; the predicted score is lit.
FORM · LAST 10
NAC BREDALWDWLWDLLW1.40 PPG
FC EINDHOVENLLWWLLLDWW1.30 PPG
THE NUMBERS
NAC BREDA HOMExFC EINDHOVEN AWAY
1.80SCORED A GAME1.302.00CONCEDED A GAME1.9010%CLEAN SHEETS30%14%FAILED TO SCORE14%6.50CORNERS A GAME4.102.40CARDS A GAME1.70
THE BANK
THE QUALITY READ
1.43POINTS A GAME1.67-0.29GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.17+2.5SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-1.51.4LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.47LEAGUE GAMES6
NAC Breda: the quality side - more shots than it allows.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
90%
VERY GOOD · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
78%
OKAY · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
71%
NO · 85/90
NAC BREDA OR DRAW
53%
NO · 80/85
FC EINDHOVEN OR DRAW
63%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (7 and 6 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
NAC BREDAxFC EINDHOVEN
5GAMES52.20SCORED A GAME1.602.40CONCEDED A GAME2.004.6GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.6100%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%100%OVER 2.5 GOALS80%100%BOTH SCORE80%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 6
NAC BREDA 1 · 17%DRAW 3FC EINDHOVEN 2 · 33%
3 of 6BOTH TEAMS SCORED
5 of 6OVER 1.5 GOALS
2 of 6OVER 2.5 GOALS
1 of 6OVER 3.5 GOALS
2021-09-24NAC Breda 0 – 2 FC Eindhoven
2022-01-08NAC Breda 0 – 0 FC Eindhoven
2022-09-02NAC Breda 1 – 1 FC Eindhoven
2023-04-21NAC Breda 2 – 1 FC Eindhoven
2023-08-25NAC Breda 0 – 2 FC Eindhoven
2024-02-09NAC Breda 2 – 2 FC Eindhoven
TRENDS
NAC Breda have scored in 80% of their games.
FC Eindhoven have scored in 80% of their games.
NAC Breda kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.
FC Eindhoven kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstxG & xGAclean sheetshead to headleague tablecornerscards