USA - USL CHAMPIONSHIP
03:00Sun 27 Sep
LEX
LS
Monterey Bay FC vs Lexington SC
CLASS E
THE READ
No firm call: the read leans Lexington SC, but the likeliest score is 1-1. Monterey Bay FC have not won any of their last six. Seventh against twelfth in the table, Monterey Bay FC concede two a game. Lexington SC average two a game. Monterey Bay FC have kept a clean sheet in about one game in six. No wins from six for Monterey Bay FC lately. This should be open. The bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 70.7%.
Bet: Over 1.5 Goals
WHY — 2 THINGS AGREE, 0 AGAINST
Angles that agree2/2 lit
H2H 75%
MON 8/10
This has landed in 75% of the last 4 between them
Monterey Bay FC saw this bet land in 8 of their last 10 games
PICKS & CONFIDENCEONE PER MARKET
READY TO BET · PRICED
SECOND HALF GOALS
2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5NOT IN CODES
1.19
2 of 2 agree85%
Book 84% · Us 85% +1
Backed by: Monterey Bay FC: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Lexington SC: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 90% · H2H 3 of 4 · on half-time scores
SECOND HALF
2nd Half - Double Chance: Draw or Lexington SCNOT IN CODES
1.27
2 of 2 agree76.4%
Book 79% · Us 76% -3 price too short
Backed by: Lexington SC: the bet landed in 3 of 5 away · Monterey Bay FC: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · H2H 3 of 4 · on half-time scores
DOUBLE CHANCE
Double Chance: Draw or Lexington SCNOT IN CODES
1.29
1 of 1 agree69%
Book 78% · Us 69% -9 price too short
Backed by: Lexington SC unbeaten in 2 of 5 away · Monterey Bay FC failed to win 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · H2H 3 of 4
STRONG · WAITING FOR A PRICE
TOTAL GOALS
Over 1.5 GoalsMAIN10-ODDS
no price yet
2 of 2 agree70.7%
Backed by: Monterey Bay FC: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Lexington SC: over 1.5 goals in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 70% · H2H 3 of 4
SCORELINES
Predicted score
1 – 1 11%
Over 1.5 70.7%
Monterey Bay FC goals →
Lexington SC goals ↓
0-05%
1-06%
2-04%
3-02%
4-00.5%
5-00.1%
0-19%
1-111%
2-17%
3-13%
4-10.9%
5-10.2%
0-28%
1-210%
2-26%
3-22%
4-20.8%
5-20.2%
0-34%
1-36%
2-33%
3-31%
4-30.5%
5-30.1%
0-42%
1-42%
2-42%
3-40.6%
4-40.2%
5-40.0%
0-50.7%
1-50.9%
2-50.5%
3-50.2%
4-50.1%
5-50.0%
Every scoreline's chance from both teams' counted goals a game: Monterey Bay FC score 1.1 and concede 2.1 (last 10, all venues, 10 games), Lexington SC score 1.4 and concede 1.4 (away, 5 games). Brighter squares are likelier; the predicted score is lit.
FORM · LAST 10
MONTEREY BAY FCLLLLLDLDDL0.30 PPG
LEXINGTON SCDWWLWLLLWW1.60 PPG
THE NUMBERS
MONTEREY BAY FC HOMExLEXINGTON SC AWAY
1.10SCORED A GAME1.902.10CONCEDED A GAME1.000%CLEAN SHEETS40%32%FAILED TO SCORE24%
THE BANK
THE QUALITY READ
0.36POINTS A GAME1.69-0.91GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.85–SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+1.40.6LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.211LEAGUE GAMES13
Lexington SC: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
71%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
51%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
47%
NO · 85/90
MONTEREY BAY FC OR DRAW
57%
NO · 80/85
LEXINGTON SC OR DRAW
75%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (11 and 13 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
MONTEREY BAY FCxLEXINGTON SC
5GAMES50.80SCORED A GAME2.601.40CONCEDED A GAME1.402.2GOALS IN THEIR GAMES4.080%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%20%OVER 2.5 GOALS80%80%BOTH SCORE60%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES2.8–CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES11.0
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 4
MONTEREY BAY FC 1 · 25%DRAW 1LEXINGTON SC 2 · 50%
3 of 4BOTH TEAMS SCORED
3 of 4OVER 1.5 GOALS
3 of 4OVER 2.5 GOALS
2 of 4OVER 3.5 GOALS
2025-04-19Monterey Bay FC 0 – 0 Lexington SC
2025-06-08Monterey Bay FC 2 – 1 Lexington SC
2026-05-08Monterey Bay FC 1 – 3 Lexington SC
2026-08-01Monterey Bay FC 2 – 3 Lexington SC
TRENDS
Monterey Bay FC failed to score in 32% of their games.
Lexington SC failed to score in 24% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againsthead to headleague table