NETHERLANDS - EERSTE DIVISIE
15:30Sat 26 Sep
VIT
VA
Heracles Almelo vs Vitesse Arnhem
CLASS E
THE READ
No firm call on the result; the likeliest score is 1-1. The historical goal rates suggest a higher-scoring game, but the final match read leans under 2.5 goals. The goals tend to come after the break with these two. Heracles Almelo collect about one a game in cards. Vitesse Arnhem have won four of their last six. No main bet: nothing we back is priced at 1.15 or more.
PICKS & CONFIDENCEONE PER MARKET
READY TO BET · PRICED
DOUBLE CHANCE
Double Chance: Heracles Almelo or Vitesse Arnhem2-ODDS
1.19
2 of 2 agree93.3%
Book 84% · Us 93% +9
Backed by: Heracles Almelo: the bet landed in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Vitesse Arnhem: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 90% · H2H 5 of 6
SCORELINES
Predicted score
1 – 1 9%
Heracles Almelo goals →
Vitesse Arnhem goals ↓
0-03%
1-05%
2-04%
3-02%
4-01%
5-00.4%
0-15%
1-19%
2-18%
3-14%
4-12%
5-10.7%
0-25%
1-28%
2-27%
3-24%
4-22%
5-20.6%
0-33%
1-35%
2-35%
3-33%
4-31%
5-30.4%
0-41%
1-42%
2-42%
3-41%
4-40.6%
5-40.2%
0-50.5%
1-50.9%
2-50.8%
3-50.5%
4-50.2%
5-50.1%
Every scoreline's chance from both teams' counted goals a game: Heracles Almelo score 2.5 and concede 1.6 (last 10, all venues, 10 games), Vitesse Arnhem score 2.2 and concede 1 (away, 5 games). Brighter squares are likelier; the predicted score is lit.
FORM · LAST 10
HERACLES ALMELOLLLWWWWWWL1.80 PPG
VITESSE ARNHEMWDLDWLWWLW1.70 PPG
THE NUMBERS
HERACLES ALMELO HOMExVITESSE ARNHEM AWAY
2.50SCORED A GAME1.701.60CONCEDED A GAME1.1010%CLEAN SHEETS20%14%FAILED TO SCORE29%7.25CORNERS A GAME5.140.88CARDS A GAME1.57
THE BANK
THE QUALITY READ
2.57POINTS A GAME1.86+2.00GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.57+9.0SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+2.02.4LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.87LEAGUE GAMES7
Heracles Almelo: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference, more shots than it allows.
HERACLES ALMELO 2:0 HANDICAP
–
389 OF 413
NO PRICE YET
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
86%
VERY GOOD · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
80%
VERY GOOD · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
57%
NO · 85/90
HERACLES ALMELO OR DRAW
71%
NO · 80/85
VITESSE ARNHEM OR DRAW
33%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (7 and 7 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
HERACLES ALMELOxVITESSE ARNHEM
5GAMES53.40SCORED A GAME1.801.00CONCEDED A GAME1.404.4GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.280%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%80%OVER 2.5 GOALS80%60%BOTH SCORE60%2.2CARDS IN THEIR GAMES–10.2CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 9
HERACLES ALMELO 2 · 22%DRAW 2VITESSE ARNHEM 5 · 56%
4 of 9BOTH TEAMS SCORED
8 of 9OVER 1.5 GOALS
4 of 9OVER 2.5 GOALS
2 of 9OVER 3.5 GOALS
2019-03-16Heracles Almelo 3 – 2 Vitesse Arnhem
2019-08-24Heracles Almelo 1 – 1 Vitesse Arnhem
2020-01-22Heracles Almelo 0 – 2 Vitesse Arnhem
2020-10-03Heracles Almelo 0 – 3 Vitesse Arnhem
2021-01-09Heracles Almelo 0 – 2 Vitesse Arnhem
2021-12-12Heracles Almelo 1 – 2 Vitesse Arnhem
2022-03-13Heracles Almelo 0 – 0 Vitesse Arnhem
2023-12-10Heracles Almelo 0 – 2 Vitesse Arnhem
TRENDS
Heracles Almelo have scored in 70% of their games.
Vitesse Arnhem have scored in 70% of their games.
Heracles Almelo kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.
Vitesse Arnhem kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetshead to headleague tablecornerscards