GERMANY - 2. BUNDESLIGA
12:00Sat 19 Sep
VFL
VO
Holstein Kiel vs VfL 1899 Osnabruck
CLASS E
THE READ
Holstein Kiel go over 1.5 in 80% of their games. VfL 1899 Osnabruck go over 1.5 in 80% of their games. This has landed in 100% of the last 3 between them.
Bet: Over 1.5 Goals · Expected goals 2.0 – 1.3
WHY — 3 THINGS AGREE, 0 AGAINST
Angles that agree3/3 lit
HOL O1.5 80%
VFL O1.5 80%
H2H 100%
Holstein Kiel go over 1.5 in 80% of their games
VfL 1899 Osnabruck go over 1.5 in 80% of their games
This has landed in 100% of the last 3 between them
PICKS & CONFIDENCEONE PER MARKET
STRONG · WAITING FOR A PRICE
TOTAL GOALS
Over 1.5 GoalsMAIN2-ODDS
no price yet
3 of 3 agree91.3%
Backed by: An open game is likely: the two sides average 3.4 goals a match between them; the goals counts agree on over 1.5.
OR HOME OVER 1.5
Holstein Kiel or Over 1.5 Goals2-ODDS
no price yet
2 of 2 agree91.1%
HANDICAP
Holstein Kiel +1.510-ODDS
no price yet
2 of 2 agree89.8%
TEAM GOALS
Holstein Kiel Under 3.5 goals10-ODDS
no price yet
2 of 2 agree86.2%
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
Holstein Kiel or Both Teams Score10-ODDS
no price yet
1 of 1 agree86.1%
CARDS
Over 1.5 Cards10-ODDS
no price yet
83.2%
Backed by: A scrappy game is likely: Holstein Kiel average 3.2 cards a match.
1UP
Holstein Kiel or Draw (1UP)10-ODDS
no price yet
81.1%
OR HOME OVER 2.5
Holstein Kiel or Over 2.5 Goals10-ODDS
no price yet
1 of 1 agree78.2%
WHY WE PASS
VfL 1899 Osnabruck or draw and over 1.5 goals — no bet. VfL 1899 Osnabruck saw this bet land in only 1 of their last 5 games. 1 angle argue for it and this one argues against, so it stays off the slip.
VfL 1899 Osnabruck or draw and both teams score — no bet. VfL 1899 Osnabruck saw this bet land in only 1 of their last 5 games. Nothing on this game argues for it, so it stays off.
VfL 1899 Osnabruck or draw and over 2.5 goals — no bet. VfL 1899 Osnabruck saw this bet land in only 1 of their last 5 games. Nothing on this game argues for it, so it stays off.
SCORELINES
Predicted score
1 – 1 10%
Over 1.5 91.3%Both score 62%
Holstein Kiel goals →
VfL 1899 Osnabruck goals ↓
0-03%
1-06%
2-05%
3-03%
4-01%
5-00.4%
0-16%
1-110%
2-18%
3-15%
4-12%
5-10.7%
0-25%
1-28%
2-27%
3-24%
4-22%
5-20.6%
0-33%
1-35%
2-34%
3-32%
4-31.0%
5-30.3%
0-41%
1-42%
2-42%
3-41.0%
4-40.4%
5-40.1%
0-50.4%
1-50.7%
2-50.6%
3-50.3%
4-50.1%
5-50.0%
Every scoreline's chance from both teams' counted goals a game: Holstein Kiel score 1.2 and concede 1.8 (last 10, all venues, 5 games), VfL 1899 Osnabruck score 1.6 and concede 2.2 (last 10, all venues, 5 games). Brighter squares are likelier; the predicted score is lit.
FORM · LAST 5
HOLSTEIN KIELDDLDL0.60 PPG
VFL 1899 OSNABRUCKLLWWL1.20 PPG
THE NUMBERS
HOLSTEIN KIEL HOMExVFL 1899 OSNABRUCK AWAY
1.20SCORED A GAME1.601.80CONCEDED A GAME2.2060%BOTH SCORED60%0%CLEAN SHEETS20%40%FAILED TO SCORE20%
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
543 OF 573
NO PRICE YET
Both sides' last 5 games point to 5.2+ cards.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
78%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
67%
OKAY · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
90%
OKAY · 85/90
HOLSTEIN KIEL OR DRAW
74%
NO · 80/85
VFL 1899 OSNABRUCK OR DRAW
68%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (5 and 4 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 7
HOLSTEIN KIEL 2 · 29%DRAW 1VFL 1899 OSNABRUCK 4 · 57%
6 of 7BOTH TEAMS SCORED
7 of 7OVER 1.5 GOALS
6 of 7OVER 2.5 GOALS
4 of 7OVER 3.5 GOALS
2017-03-10Holstein Kiel 1 – 2 VfL 1899 Osnabruck
2019-12-07Holstein Kiel 2 – 4 VfL 1899 Osnabruck
2020-06-21Holstein Kiel 1 – 4 VfL 1899 Osnabruck
2021-01-03Holstein Kiel 1 – 2 VfL 1899 Osnabruck
2021-04-24Holstein Kiel 3 – 1 VfL 1899 Osnabruck
2023-11-04Holstein Kiel 1 – 1 VfL 1899 Osnabruck
2024-04-13Holstein Kiel 4 – 0 VfL 1899 Osnabruck
TRENDS
Holstein Kiel failed to score in 40% of their games.
VfL 1899 Osnabruck failed to score in 20% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstxG & xGAhead to headleague tablecorners