BRAZIL - BRASILEIRO SERIE A
21:00Sat 19 Sep
BOT
BF
Mirassol FC SP vs Botafogo FR RJ
CLASS B
THE BETSTRONG · 10-ODDS · 100-ODDS ·…
87
TEAM GOALS
Class B
Botafogo FR RJ Under 2.5 goals
Mirassol FC SP v Botafogo FR RJ
1.11odds
90%book
-3edge
2/2angles
EDGE PICKOver 1.5 Goals · 71.8% · @1.23
Book 81% · Us 72% -9 price too short
Backed by
· main loses on: 0-3, 1-3, 0-4, 2-3, 1-4, 0-5, 3-3, 2-4, 1-5, 0-6, 4-3, 3-4 and 76 more up to 10-10 | hedge wins on all of thema normal game: both teams' counts give 3+ goals 57%.
THE READ
Mirassol FC SP saw this bet land in 8 of their last 10 games. Botafogo FR RJ saw this bet land in 9 of their last 10 games.
Bet: Botafogo FR RJ Under 2.5 goals · Edge: Over 1.5 Goals · Expected goals 1.5 – 1.2
WHY — 2 THINGS AGREE, 0 AGAINST
Angles that agree2/2 lit
MIR 8/10
BOT 9/10
Mirassol FC SP saw this bet land in 8 of their last 10 games
Botafogo FR RJ saw this bet land in 9 of their last 10 games
PICKS & CONFIDENCEONE PER MARKET
READY TO BET · PRICED
TEAM GOALS
Botafogo FR RJ Under 2.5 goalsMAIN10-ODDS
1.11
2 of 2 agree87.2%
Book 90% · Us 87% -3 price too short
HANDICAP
Mirassol FC SP +1.510-ODDS
1.09
2 of 2 agree87.2%
Book 92% · Us 87% -5 price too short
TOTAL GOALS
1-5 Goals10-ODDS
1.08
2 of 2 agree86.8%
Book 93% · Us 87% -6 price too short
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
Mirassol FC SP or Both Teams Score10-ODDS
1.19
2 of 2 agree78.5%
Book 84% · Us 78% -6 price too short
1UP
Mirassol FC SP or Draw (1UP)10-ODDS
1.22
2 of 2 agree75.3%
Book 82% · Us 75% -7 price too short
OR DRAW OVER 2.5
Draw or Over 2.5 Goals10-ODDS
1.30
2 of 2 agree70.5%
Book 77% · Us 70% -7 price too short
OR HOME OVER 2.5
Mirassol FC SP or Over 2.5 Goals10-ODDS
1.34
69.4%
Book 75% · Us 69% -6 price too short
FIRST HALF GOALS
Over 0.5 first-half goals10-ODDS
1.34
2 of 2 agree68.3%
Book 75% · Us 68% -7 price too short
Backed by: the two sides' first halves: a first-half goal in 4 of 5 and 8 of 10 of their games with a half-time score.
STRONG · WAITING FOR A PRICE
OR HOME OVER 1.5
Mirassol FC SP or Over 1.5 Goals10-ODDS
no price yet
2 of 2 agree86%
OR AWAY OVER 1.5
Botafogo FR RJ or Over 1.5 Goals10-ODDS
no price yet
2 of 2 agree84.1%
CARDS
Over 1.5 Cards10-ODDS
no price yet
79%
Backed by: A scrappy game is likely: Mirassol FC SP and Botafogo FR RJ average 3.7 cards, 2.8 cards a match.
SCORELINES
Predicted score
1 – 1 12%
Over 1.5 71.8%
Mirassol FC SP goals →
Botafogo FR RJ goals ↓
0-06%
1-08%
2-05%
3-03%
4-00.9%
5-00.2%
0-18%
1-112%
2-18%
3-14%
4-11%
5-10.4%
0-26%
1-29%
2-26%
3-23%
4-21.0%
5-20.3%
0-33%
1-34%
2-33%
3-31%
4-30.5%
5-30.1%
0-41%
1-42%
2-41%
3-40.5%
4-40.2%
5-40.1%
0-50.3%
1-50.5%
2-50.3%
3-50.2%
4-50.1%
5-50.0%
Every scoreline's chance from both teams' counted goals a game: Mirassol FC SP score 1.6 and concede 2 (at home, 5 games), Botafogo FR RJ score 1 and concede 1.2 (last 10, all venues, 10 games). Brighter squares are likelier; the predicted score is lit.
FORM · LAST 10
MIRASSOL FC SPWDWLLDDLWD1.30 PPG
BOTAFOGO FR RJWDWDLLLDDW1.30 PPG
THE NUMBERS
MIRASSOL FC SP HOMExBOTAFOGO FR RJ AWAY
1.30SCORED A GAME1.001.80CONCEDED A GAME1.2090%BOTH SCORED50%0%CLEAN SHEETS30%26%FAILED TO SCORE22%
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
543 OF 573
NO PRICE YET
Both sides' last 5 games point to 5.2+ cards.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
1.60POINTS A GAME1.50+0.00GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.12–SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST–1.6LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.05LEAGUE GAMES8
No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
90%
VERY GOOD · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
64%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
90%
OKAY · 85/90
MIRASSOL FC SP OR DRAW
74%
NO · 80/85
BOTAFOGO FR RJ OR DRAW
52%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (5 and 8 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
MIRASSOL FC SPxBOTAFOGO FR RJ
5GAMES51.60SCORED A GAME1.401.60CONCEDED A GAME2.003.2GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.4100%OVER 1.5 GOALS100%80%OVER 2.5 GOALS60%100%BOTH SCORE80%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 3
MIRASSOL FC SP 0 · 0%DRAW 2BOTAFOGO FR RJ 1 · 33%
2 of 3BOTH TEAMS SCORED
2 of 3OVER 1.5 GOALS
2 of 3OVER 2.5 GOALS
2 of 3OVER 3.5 GOALS
2025-09-17Mirassol FC SP 3 – 3 Botafogo FR RJ
2025-11-01Mirassol FC SP 0 – 0 Botafogo FR RJ
2026-04-01Mirassol FC SP 2 – 3 Botafogo FR RJ
TEAM NEWS
MIRASSOL FC SP
Out: Alesson (Yellow Cards), Jose Aldo (Muscle Injury), Negueba (Knee Injury), Walter (Injury), Gustavo Silva (Injury), Alesson (Yellow Cards)BOTAFOGO FR RJ
Out: J. Barrera (Injury), Kaio Pantaleao (Knee Injury), Matheus Martins (Inactive), J. Barrera (Injury), Kaio Pantaleao (Knee Injury), Matheus Martins (Inactive)TRENDS
Mirassol FC SP failed to score in 26% of their games.
Botafogo FR RJ failed to score in 22% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againsthead to headleague tableteam newscornerscards