PARAGUAY - DIVISION DE HONOR
20:00Sat 19 Sep
SPO
SA
Libertad Asuncion vs Sportivo Ameliano
CLASS D
THE BETSTRONG · 10-ODDS · 100-ODDS ·…
89
TOTAL GOALS
Class D
Under 3.5 Goals
Libertad Asuncion v Sportivo Ameliano
1.34odds
75%book
+14edge
3/3angles
THE READ
This has landed in 100% of the last 5 between them. Libertad Asuncion saw this bet land in 8 of their last 10 games. Sportivo Ameliano saw this bet land in 9 of their last 10 games.
Bet: Under 3.5 Goals · Expected goals 1.6 – 1.0
WHY — 3 THINGS AGREE, 0 AGAINST
Angles that agree3/3 lit
H2H 100%
LIB 8/10
SPO 9/10
This has landed in 100% of the last 5 between them
Libertad Asuncion saw this bet land in 8 of their last 10 games
Sportivo Ameliano saw this bet land in 9 of their last 10 games
PICKS & CONFIDENCEONE PER MARKET
READY TO BET · PRICED
TOTAL GOALS
Under 3.5 GoalsMAIN10-ODDS
1.34
3 of 3 agree88.9%
Book 75% · Us 89% +14
Backed by: the goals counts agree on under 3.5.
OR HOME UNDER 2.5
Libertad Asuncion or Under 2.5 Goals10-ODDS
1.13
2 of 2 agree81.3%
Book 88% · Us 81% -7 price too short
Backed by: Libertad Asuncion are clearly the stronger side on points per game (2.20 to 1.60).
1UP
Libertad Asuncion or Draw (1UP)10-ODDS
1.13
1 of 1 agree80.9%
Book 88% · Us 81% -7 price too short
TEAM GOALS
Libertad Asuncion Over 0.5 Goals10-ODDS
1.16
2 of 2 agree80.5%
Book 86% · Us 80% -6 price too short
Backed by: Libertad Asuncion are clearly the stronger side on points per game (2.20 to 1.60).
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
Libertad Asuncion or Both Teams Score10-ODDS
1.15
2 of 2 agree80.5%
Book 87% · Us 80% -7 price too short
Backed by: Libertad Asuncion are clearly the stronger side on points per game (2.20 to 1.60); Sportivo Ameliano score in 90% of their games and Libertad Asuncion keep a clean sheet in only 30%.
OR HOME OVER 2.5
Libertad Asuncion or Over 2.5 Goals10-ODDS
1.30
1 of 1 agree70.5%
Book 77% · Us 70% -7 price too short
Backed by: Libertad Asuncion are clearly the stronger side on points per game (2.20 to 1.60).
FIRST HALF GOALS
Over 0.5 first-half goals10-ODDS
1.35
1 of 1 agree65%
Book 74% · Us 65% -9 price too short
STRONG · WAITING FOR A PRICE
HANDICAP
Libertad Asuncion +1.52-ODDS
no price yet
2 of 2 agree91.4%
OR HOME OVER 1.5
Libertad Asuncion or Over 1.5 Goals10-ODDS
no price yet
2 of 2 agree85.8%
Backed by: Libertad Asuncion are clearly the stronger side on points per game (2.20 to 1.60); the goals counts agree on over 1.5.
CARDS
Over 1.5 Cards10-ODDS
no price yet
79.2%
Backed by: A scrappy game is likely: Libertad Asuncion average 2.5 cards a match.
LEANS · NOT FOR SLIPS
AND 1X OVER 1.5
Libertad Asuncion or Draw & Over 1.5
1.45
57.9%
Book 69% · Us 58% -11 price too short
Backed by: Libertad Asuncion are clearly the stronger side on points per game (2.20 to 1.60); the goals counts agree on over 1.5.
SCORELINES
Predicted score
1 – 1 12%
Over 1.5 77.7%Both score 51.6%
Libertad Asuncion goals →
Sportivo Ameliano goals ↓
0-07%
1-011%
2-08%
3-04%
4-01%
5-00.4%
0-19%
1-112%
2-19%
3-14%
4-12%
5-10.5%
0-25%
1-27%
2-25%
3-22%
4-20.9%
5-20.3%
0-32%
1-33%
2-32%
3-31.0%
4-30.3%
5-30.1%
0-40.5%
1-40.8%
2-40.6%
3-40.3%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.1%
1-50.2%
2-50.1%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every scoreline's chance from both teams' counted goals a game: Libertad Asuncion score 1.8 and concede 1.1 (last 10, all venues, 10 games), Sportivo Ameliano score 1.2 and concede 1.1 (last 10, all venues, 10 games). Brighter squares are likelier; the predicted score is lit.
FORM · LAST 10
LIBERTAD ASUNCIONWWLWWWDLWW2.20 PPG
SPORTIVO AMELIANODDDWLWDLWW1.60 PPG
THE NUMBERS
LIBERTAD ASUNCION HOMExSPORTIVO AMELIANO AWAY
1.80SCORED A GAME1.201.10CONCEDED A GAME1.1060%BOTH SCORED70%30%CLEAN SHEETS20%10%FAILED TO SCORE10%
THE BANK
THE QUALITY READ
2.00POINTS A GAME1.50+0.50GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.00–SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST–2.0LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.48LEAGUE GAMES8
No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
75%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
50%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
93%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
LIBERTAD ASUNCION OR DRAW
92%
VERY GOOD · 80/85
SPORTIVO AMELIANO OR DRAW
31%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (8 and 8 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
LIBERTAD ASUNCIONxSPORTIVO AMELIANO
5GAMES51.60SCORED A GAME1.201.40CONCEDED A GAME1.403.0GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.680%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%60%OVER 2.5 GOALS60%60%BOTH SCORE60%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 9
LIBERTAD ASUNCION 3 · 33%DRAW 3SPORTIVO AMELIANO 3 · 33%
3 of 9BOTH TEAMS SCORED
6 of 9OVER 1.5 GOALS
3 of 9OVER 2.5 GOALS
1 of 9OVER 3.5 GOALS
2024-08-15Libertad Asuncion 1 – 1 Sportivo Ameliano
2024-08-19Libertad Asuncion 0 – 0 Sportivo Ameliano
2024-10-25Libertad Asuncion 1 – 2 Sportivo Ameliano
2025-02-16Libertad Asuncion 2 – 0 Sportivo Ameliano
2025-04-27Libertad Asuncion 0 – 0 Sportivo Ameliano
2025-08-04Libertad Asuncion 4 – 0 Sportivo Ameliano
2025-10-18Libertad Asuncion 1 – 2 Sportivo Ameliano
2026-01-28Libertad Asuncion 1 – 0 Sportivo Ameliano
TRENDS
Libertad Asuncion failed to score in 10% of their games.
Sportivo Ameliano failed to score in 10% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againsthead to headleague tablecornerscards