ARGENTINA - PRIMERA LPF
18:30Sat 19 Sep
DEP
DR
Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza vs Deportivo Riestra AFBC
CLASS B
THE BETSTRONG · 10-ODDS · 100-ODDS ·…
84
TOTAL GOALS
Class B
Under 3.5 Goals
Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza v Deportivo Riestra AFBC
1.12odds
89%book
-5edge
3/3angles
THE READ
This has landed in 83% of the last 6 between them. Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza saw this bet land in 7 of their last 10 games. Deportivo Riestra AFBC saw this bet land in 10 of their last 10 games.
Bet: Under 3.5 Goals · Expected goals 1.1 – 0.9
WHY — 3 THINGS AGREE, 0 AGAINST
Angles that agree3/3 lit
H2H 83%
GIM 7/10
DEP 10/10
This has landed in 83% of the last 6 between them
Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza saw this bet land in 7 of their last 10 games
Deportivo Riestra AFBC saw this bet land in 10 of their last 10 games
PICKS & CONFIDENCEONE PER MARKET
READY TO BET · PRICED
FIRST HALF GOALS
Under 2.5 first-half goals2-ODDS
1.03
3 of 3 agree92%
Book 97% · Us 92% -5 price too short
HANDICAP
Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza +1.52-ODDS
1.05
2 of 2 agree90.8%
Book 95% · Us 91% -4 price too short
TEAM GOALS
Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza Under 2.5 goals10-ODDS
1.07
2 of 2 agree89.3%
Book 93% · Us 89% -4 price too short
OR HOME UNDER 2.5
Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza or Under 2.5 Goals10-ODDS
1.11
2 of 2 agree85.5%
Book 90% · Us 86% -4 price too short
Backed by: Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza are clearly the stronger side on points per game (1.90 to 1.00); A tight game is likely: the two sides average 2.2 goals a match between them.
TOTAL GOALS
Under 3.5 GoalsMAIN10-ODDS
1.12
3 of 3 agree84.2%
Book 89% · Us 84% -5 price too short
Backed by: A tight game is likely: the two sides average 2.2 goals a match between them; the goals counts agree on under 3.5.
1UP
Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza or Draw (1UP)10-ODDS
1.23
2 of 2 agree76.2%
Book 81% · Us 76% -5 price too short
AND 1X UNDER 3.5
Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza or draw and under 3.5 goals10-ODDS
1.41
1 of 1 agree61.9%
Book 71% · Us 62% -9 price too short
Backed by: Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza are clearly the stronger side on points per game (1.90 to 1.00); A tight game is likely: the two sides average 2.2 goals a match between them; the goals counts agree on under 3.5.
STRONG · WAITING FOR A PRICE
CARDS
Over 1.5 Cards10-ODDS
no price yet
80.3%
Backed by: A scrappy game is likely: Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza and Deportivo Riestra AFBC average 2.3 cards, 3.2 cards a match.
WHY WE PASS
Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza or draw and under 2.5 goals — no bet. Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza saw this bet land in only 2 of their last 10 games. Nothing on this game argues for it, so it stays off.
SCORELINES
Predicted score
1 – 0 18%
Gimnasia y Esgrima… goals →
Deportivo Riestra AFBC goals ↓
0-012%
1-018%
2-014%
3-07%
4-03%
5-00.8%
0-17%
1-111%
2-18%
3-14%
4-12%
5-10.5%
0-22%
1-23%
2-22%
3-21%
4-20.5%
5-20.1%
0-30.4%
1-30.7%
2-30.5%
3-30.2%
4-30.1%
5-30.0%
0-40.1%
1-40.1%
2-40.1%
3-40.0%
4-40.0%
5-40.0%
0-50.0%
1-50.0%
2-50.0%
3-50.0%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every scoreline's chance from both teams' counted goals a game: Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza score 2 and concede 0.8 (at home, 5 games), Deportivo Riestra AFBC score 0.4 and concede 1 (away, 5 games). Brighter squares are likelier; the predicted score is lit.
FORM · LAST 10
GIMNASIA Y ESGRIMA MENDOZAWWLWLWWWDL1.90 PPG
DEPORTIVO RIESTRA AFBCDWLLWLDDDL1.00 PPG
THE NUMBERS
GIMNASIA Y ESGRIMA MENDOZA HOMExDEPORTIVO RIESTRA AFBC AWAY
1.60SCORED A GAME0.801.00CONCEDED A GAME1.0040%BOTH SCORED30%30%CLEAN SHEETS40%32%FAILED TO SCORE64%
THE BANK
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
72%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
34%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
99%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
GIMNASIA Y ESGRIMA MENDOZA OR DRAW
95%
VERY GOOD · 80/85
DEPORTIVO RIESTRA AFBC OR DRAW
43%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (4 and 7 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 6
GIMNASIA Y ESGRIMA MENDOZA 1 · 17%DRAW 5DEPORTIVO RIESTRA AFBC 0 · 0%
2 of 6BOTH TEAMS SCORED
2 of 6OVER 1.5 GOALS
1 of 6OVER 2.5 GOALS
1 of 6OVER 3.5 GOALS
2019-10-07Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza 0 – 0 Deportivo Riestra AFBC
2020-12-14Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza 3 – 1 Deportivo Riestra AFBC
2021-06-23Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza 1 – 1 Deportivo Riestra AFBC
2021-10-18Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza 0 – 0 Deportivo Riestra AFBC
2022-03-23Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza 0 – 0 Deportivo Riestra AFBC
2026-03-12Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza 0 – 0 Deportivo Riestra AFBC
TRENDS
Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza failed to score in 32% of their games.
Deportivo Riestra AFBC failed to score in 64% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstxG & xGAhead to headleague tablecorners