BULGARIA - PARVA LIGA
14:30Sat 19 Sep
BOT
BP
FK Septemvri Sofia vs Botev Plovdiv
CLASS D
THE READ
FK Septemvri Sofia go over 1.5 in 78% of their games. Botev Plovdiv go over 1.5 in 78% of their games. This has landed in 75% of the last 4 between them.
Bet: Over 1.5 Goals · Expected goals 1.0 – 1.6
WHY — 3 THINGS AGREE, 0 AGAINST
Angles that agree3/3 lit
FKS O1.5 78%
BOT O1.5 78%
H2H 75%
FK Septemvri Sofia go over 1.5 in 78% of their games
Botev Plovdiv go over 1.5 in 78% of their games
This has landed in 75% of the last 4 between them
PICKS & CONFIDENCEONE PER MARKET
STRONG · WAITING FOR A PRICE
OR AWAY OVER 1.5
Botev Plovdiv or Over 1.5 Goals10-ODDS
no price yet
2 of 2 agree85.5%
Backed by: Botev Plovdiv are clearly the stronger side on points per game (1.44 to 0.89); the goals counts agree on over 1.5.
OR AWAY UNDER 2.5
Botev Plovdiv or Under 2.5 Goals10-ODDS
no price yet
2 of 2 agree82.5%
Backed by: Botev Plovdiv are clearly the stronger side on points per game (1.44 to 0.89).
TEAM GOALS
Botev Plovdiv Over 0.5 Goals10-ODDS
no price yet
2 of 2 agree80.5%
Backed by: Botev Plovdiv are clearly the stronger side on points per game (1.44 to 0.89).
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
Botev Plovdiv win or both teams score10-ODDS
no price yet
2 of 2 agree80.5%
Backed by: Botev Plovdiv are clearly the stronger side on points per game (1.44 to 0.89); FK Septemvri Sofia score in 78% of their games and Botev Plovdiv keep a clean sheet in only 22%.
TOTAL GOALS
Over 1.5 GoalsMAIN10-ODDS
no price yet
3 of 3 agree74.3%
Backed by: the goals counts agree on over 1.5.
OR AWAY OVER 2.5
Botev Plovdiv or Over 2.5 Goals10-ODDS
no price yet
70.2%
Backed by: Botev Plovdiv are clearly the stronger side on points per game (1.44 to 0.89).
DRAW NO BET
Botev Plovdiv (Draw No Bet)10-ODDS
no price yet
65.2%
Backed by: Botev Plovdiv are clearly the stronger side on points per game (1.44 to 0.89).
LEANS · NOT FOR SLIPS
AND X2 OVER 1.5
Botev Plovdiv or draw and over 1.5 goals
no price yet
1 of 1 agree58.1%
Backed by: Botev Plovdiv are clearly the stronger side on points per game (1.44 to 0.89); the goals counts agree on over 1.5.
MATCH RESULT
Botev Plovdiv to Win
no price yet
52.1%
Backed by: Botev Plovdiv are clearly the stronger side on points per game (1.44 to 0.89).
AND AWAY OVER 1.5
Botev Plovdiv Win & Over 1.5
no price yet
40.8%
Backed by: Botev Plovdiv are clearly the stronger side on points per game (1.44 to 0.89); the goals counts agree on over 1.5.
COMBINATIONS
Botev Plovdiv Win & Over 1.5
no price yet
40.8%
Backed by: Botev Plovdiv are clearly the stronger side on points per game (1.44 to 0.89); the goals counts agree on over 1.5.
WHY WE PASS
Botev Plovdiv Win & BTTS — no bet. Botev Plovdiv saw this bet land in only 2 of their last 9 games. Nothing on this game argues for it, so it stays off.
Botev Plovdiv win and both teams score — no bet. Botev Plovdiv saw this bet land in only 2 of their last 9 games. Nothing on this game argues for it, so it stays off.
SCORELINES
Predicted score
1 – 1 12%
Over 1.5 74.3%Both score 50.1%
FK Septemvri Sofia goals →
Botev Plovdiv goals ↓
0-06%
1-08%
2-05%
3-02%
4-00.6%
5-00.1%
0-110%
1-112%
2-17%
3-13%
4-10.9%
5-10.2%
0-28%
1-29%
2-26%
3-22%
4-20.7%
5-20.2%
0-34%
1-35%
2-33%
3-31%
4-30.4%
5-30.1%
0-42%
1-42%
2-41%
3-40.5%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.5%
1-50.6%
2-50.4%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every scoreline's chance from both teams' counted goals a game: FK Septemvri Sofia score 0.89 and concede 1.67 (last 10, all venues, 9 games), Botev Plovdiv score 1.44 and concede 1.56 (last 10, all venues, 9 games). Brighter squares are likelier; the predicted score is lit.
FORM · LAST 9
FK SEPTEMVRI SOFIADLLLWWDLL0.89 PPG
BOTEV PLOVDIVDLWWLLLWW1.44 PPG
THE NUMBERS
FK SEPTEMVRI SOFIA HOMExBOTEV PLOVDIV AWAY
0.89SCORED A GAME1.441.67CONCEDED A GAME1.5656%BOTH SCORED56%22%CLEAN SHEETS22%22%FAILED TO SCORE22%
THE BANK
THE QUALITY READ
0.83POINTS A GAME1.25-0.67GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.25–SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-1.20.8LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.26LEAGUE GAMES8
No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
87%
VERY GOOD · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
52%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
68%
NO · 85/90
FK SEPTEMVRI SOFIA OR DRAW
57%
NO · 80/85
BOTEV PLOVDIV OR DRAW
62%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (6 and 8 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
FK SEPTEMVRI SOFIAxBOTEV PLOVDIV
5GAMES51.00SCORED A GAME1.201.80CONCEDED A GAME1.602.8GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.880%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%60%OVER 2.5 GOALS40%60%BOTH SCORE40%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 8
FK SEPTEMVRI SOFIA 2 · 25%DRAW 0BOTEV PLOVDIV 6 · 75%
3 of 8BOTH TEAMS SCORED
7 of 8OVER 1.5 GOALS
4 of 8OVER 2.5 GOALS
2 of 8OVER 3.5 GOALS
2018-07-28FK Septemvri Sofia 0 – 2 Botev Plovdiv
2018-11-10FK Septemvri Sofia 0 – 2 Botev Plovdiv
2022-08-26FK Septemvri Sofia 1 – 3 Botev Plovdiv
2023-03-10FK Septemvri Sofia 2 – 1 Botev Plovdiv
2024-11-04FK Septemvri Sofia 1 – 0 Botev Plovdiv
2025-04-12FK Septemvri Sofia 0 – 3 Botev Plovdiv
2025-09-21FK Septemvri Sofia 1 – 3 Botev Plovdiv
2026-03-03FK Septemvri Sofia 0 – 2 Botev Plovdiv
TRENDS
FK Septemvri Sofia failed to score in 22% of their games.
Botev Plovdiv failed to score in 22% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againsthead to headleague tablecards