JAPAN - J1 LEAGUE
10:30Sat 19 Sep
CER
CO
V-Varen Nagasaki vs Cerezo Osaka
CLASS D
THE READ
Cerezo Osaka are clearly the stronger side on points per game (1.43 to 1.00). V-Varen Nagasaki saw this bet land in 6 of their last 7 games. Cerezo Osaka saw this bet land in 5 of their last 7 games.
Bet: Cerezo Osaka +1.5 · Expected goals 1.2 – 1.6
WHY — 2 THINGS AGREE, 0 AGAINST
Angles that agree2/2 lit
VVA 6/7
CER 5/7
V-Varen Nagasaki saw this bet land in 6 of their last 7 games
Cerezo Osaka saw this bet land in 5 of their last 7 games
PICKS & CONFIDENCEONE PER MARKET
STRONG · WAITING FOR A PRICE
CARDS
Over 1.5 Cards10-ODDS
no price yet
89.2%
HANDICAP
Cerezo Osaka +1.5MAIN10-ODDS
no price yet
2 of 2 agree88.8%
TEAM GOALS
V-Varen Nagasaki Under 2.5 goals10-ODDS
no price yet
2 of 2 agree88.3%
OR AWAY OVER 1.5
Cerezo Osaka or Over 1.5 Goals10-ODDS
no price yet
2 of 2 agree86.8%
Backed by: Cerezo Osaka are clearly the stronger side on points per game (1.43 to 1.00).
TOTAL GOALS
1-5 Goals10-ODDS
no price yet
2 of 2 agree86.7%
CORNERS
Over 6.5 Corners10-ODDS
no price yet
2 of 2 agree82.4%
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
Cerezo Osaka win or both teams score10-ODDS
no price yet
1 of 1 agree80.3%
Backed by: Cerezo Osaka are clearly the stronger side on points per game (1.43 to 1.00).
1UP
Cerezo Osaka or Draw (1UP)10-ODDS
no price yet
1 of 1 agree77.7%
LEANS · NOT FOR SLIPS
MATCH RESULT
Cerezo Osaka to Win
no price yet
46.9%
Backed by: Cerezo Osaka are clearly the stronger side on points per game (1.43 to 1.00).
WHY WE PASS
Under 11.5 corners — no bet. Cerezo Osaka saw this bet land in only 1 of their last 4 games. 1 angle argue for it and this one argues against, so it stays off the slip.
SCORELINES
Predicted score
1 – 1 12%
Over 1.5 75.9%
V-Varen Nagasaki goals →
Cerezo Osaka goals ↓
0-06%
1-08%
2-06%
3-03%
4-01.0%
5-00.3%
0-18%
1-112%
2-18%
3-14%
4-11%
5-10.4%
0-26%
1-28%
2-26%
3-23%
4-21%
5-20.3%
0-33%
1-34%
2-33%
3-31%
4-30.5%
5-30.1%
0-41.0%
1-41%
2-41%
3-40.5%
4-40.2%
5-40.0%
0-50.3%
1-50.4%
2-50.3%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every scoreline's chance from both teams' counted goals a game: V-Varen Nagasaki score 1.29 and concede 2 (last 10, all venues, 7 games), Cerezo Osaka score 0.86 and concede 1.57 (last 10, all venues, 7 games). Brighter squares are likelier; the predicted score is lit.
FORM · LAST 7
V-VAREN NAGASAKIWLLLDLW1.00 PPG
CEREZO OSAKAWLWLWDL1.43 PPG
THE NUMBERS
V-VAREN NAGASAKI HOMExCEREZO OSAKA AWAY
1.29SCORED A GAME0.862.00CONCEDED A GAME1.5757%BOTH SCORED29%14%CLEAN SHEETS43%29%FAILED TO SCORE43%3.71CORNERS A GAME4.50
THE BANK
THE QUALITY READ
1.00POINTS A GAME1.43-0.71GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.71–SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST–0.8LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.47LEAGUE GAMES7
No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
71%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
58%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
87%
OKAY · 85/90
V-VAREN NAGASAKI OR DRAW
84%
OKAY · 80/85
CEREZO OSAKA OR DRAW
29%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (7 and 7 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
V-VAREN NAGASAKIxCEREZO OSAKA
5GAMES51.40SCORED A GAME0.802.40CONCEDED A GAME1.403.8GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.2100%OVER 1.5 GOALS40%80%OVER 2.5 GOALS20%60%BOTH SCORE20%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 8
V-VAREN NAGASAKI 3 · 38%DRAW 0CEREZO OSAKA 5 · 62%
4 of 8BOTH TEAMS SCORED
7 of 8OVER 1.5 GOALS
4 of 8OVER 2.5 GOALS
2 of 8OVER 3.5 GOALS
2015-05-17V-Varen Nagasaki 2 – 1 Cerezo Osaka
2015-11-14V-Varen Nagasaki 2 – 0 Cerezo Osaka
2016-06-08V-Varen Nagasaki 1 – 2 Cerezo Osaka
2016-09-11V-Varen Nagasaki 0 – 2 Cerezo Osaka
2018-05-05V-Varen Nagasaki 1 – 3 Cerezo Osaka
2018-08-19V-Varen Nagasaki 0 – 2 Cerezo Osaka
2026-02-28V-Varen Nagasaki 1 – 0 Cerezo Osaka
2026-05-09V-Varen Nagasaki 2 – 3 Cerezo Osaka
TRENDS
V-Varen Nagasaki failed to score in 29% of their games.
Cerezo Osaka failed to score in 43% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstxG & xGAhead to headleague tablecornerscards