ENGLAND - NATIONAL LEAGUE
15:00Sat 19 Sep
ALD
AT
Barrow AFC vs Aldershot Town FC
CLASS E
THE BETSTRONG · 10-ODDS · 100-ODDS ·…
88
TEAM GOALS
Class E
Aldershot Town FC Under 2.5 goals
Barrow AFC v Aldershot Town FC
1.09odds
92%book
-4edge
2/2angles
EDGE PICKAldershot Town FC win or both teams score · 69.9% · @1.35
Book 74% · Us 70% -4 price too short
Backed by
· main loses on: 0-3, 1-3, 0-4, 2-3, 1-4, 0-5, 3-3, 2-4, 1-5, 0-6, 4-3, 3-4 and 76 more up to 10-10 | hedge wins on all of themAldershot Town FC are clearly the stronger side on points per game (1.88 to 0.75); Barrow AFC score in 75% of their games and Aldershot Town FC keep a clean sheet in only 25%.
THE READ
Barrow AFC saw this bet land in 8 of their last 8 games. Aldershot Town FC saw this bet land in 7 of their last 8 games.
Bet: Aldershot Town FC Under 2.5 goals · Edge: Aldershot Town FC win or both teams score · Expected goals 1.8 – 1.2
WHY — 2 THINGS AGREE, 0 AGAINST
Angles that agree2/2 lit
BAR 8/8
ALD 7/8
Barrow AFC saw this bet land in 8 of their last 8 games
Aldershot Town FC saw this bet land in 7 of their last 8 games
PICKS & CONFIDENCEONE PER MARKET
READY TO BET · PRICED
HANDICAP
Barrow AFC +1.510-ODDS
1.06
2 of 2 agree89.9%
Book 94% · Us 90% -4 price too short
TEAM GOALS
Aldershot Town FC Under 2.5 goalsMAIN10-ODDS
1.09
2 of 2 agree87.9%
Book 92% · Us 88% -4 price too short
TOTAL GOALS
1-5 Goals10-ODDS
1.07
2 of 2 agree85.9%
Book 93% · Us 86% -7 price too short
1UP
Barrow AFC or Draw (1UP)10-ODDS
1.17
80.4%
Book 85% · Us 80% -5 price too short
STRONG · WAITING FOR A PRICE
OR HOME OVER 1.5
Barrow AFC or Over 1.5 Goals10-ODDS
no price yet
2 of 2 agree89.3%
OR AWAY OVER 1.5
Aldershot Town FC or Over 1.5 Goals10-ODDS
no price yet
2 of 2 agree86.2%
Backed by: Aldershot Town FC are clearly the stronger side on points per game (1.88 to 0.75).
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
Barrow AFC or Both Teams Score10-ODDS
no price yet
2 of 2 agree83.8%
OR HOME OVER 2.5
Barrow AFC or Over 2.5 Goals10-ODDS
no price yet
75.1%
OR DRAW OVER 2.5
Draw or Over 2.5 Goals10-ODDS
no price yet
1 of 1 agree73.7%
OR AWAY OVER 2.5
Aldershot Town FC or Over 2.5 Goals10-ODDS
no price yet
1 of 1 agree67.5%
Backed by: Aldershot Town FC are clearly the stronger side on points per game (1.88 to 0.75).
WHY WE PASS
Barrow AFC (Draw No Bet) — no bet. Aldershot Town FC have lost only 1 of their last 8. 1 other angle point the same way, and 1 point at it — too split to bet.
SCORELINES
Predicted score
0 – 1 13%
Over 1.5 68.2%Both score 58.4%
Barrow AFC goals →
Aldershot Town FC goals ↓
0-09%
1-09%
2-05%
3-02%
4-00.4%
5-00.1%
0-113%
1-113%
2-16%
3-12%
4-10.5%
5-10.1%
0-29%
1-29%
2-24%
3-21%
4-20.4%
5-20.1%
0-34%
1-34%
2-32%
3-30.7%
4-30.2%
5-30.0%
0-41%
1-41%
2-40.7%
3-40.2%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.4%
1-50.4%
2-50.2%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every scoreline's chance from both teams' counted goals a game: Barrow AFC score 1.25 and concede 1.5 (last 10, all venues, 8 games), Aldershot Town FC score 1.25 and concede 0.75 (last 10, all venues, 8 games). Brighter squares are likelier; the predicted score is lit.
FORM · LAST 8
BARROW AFCLLDLDWDL0.75 PPG
ALDERSHOT TOWN FCWLDWDWWD1.88 PPG
THE NUMBERS
BARROW AFC HOMExALDERSHOT TOWN FC AWAY
1.25SCORED A GAME1.251.50CONCEDED A GAME0.7562%BOTH SCORED62%12%CLEAN SHEETS25%25%FAILED TO SCORE12%
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
543 OF 573
NO PRICE YET
Both sides' last 5 games point to 5.2+ cards.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
0.75POINTS A GAME1.88-0.25GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.62-0.2SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-0.81.0LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.28LEAGUE GAMES8
Aldershot Town FC: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference, better form (last 5).
ALDERSHOT TOWN FC 0:2 HANDICAP
–
373 OF 433
NO PRICE YET
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
82%
OKAY · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
38%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
98%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
BARROW AFC OR DRAW
44%
NO · 80/85
ALDERSHOT TOWN FC OR DRAW
81%
OKAY · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (8 and 8 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
BARROW AFCxALDERSHOT TOWN FC
5GAMES51.40SCORED A GAME1.801.20CONCEDED A GAME0.802.6GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.680%OVER 1.5 GOALS100%60%OVER 2.5 GOALS40%60%BOTH SCORE80%6.4CARDS IN THEIR GAMES4.012.2CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES10.0
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 10
BARROW AFC 7 · 70%DRAW 2ALDERSHOT TOWN FC 1 · 10%
6 of 10BOTH TEAMS SCORED
7 of 10OVER 1.5 GOALS
5 of 10OVER 2.5 GOALS
3 of 10OVER 3.5 GOALS
2015-09-19Barrow AFC 1 – 3 Aldershot Town FC
2016-04-02Barrow AFC 1 – 0 Aldershot Town FC
2016-08-06Barrow AFC 1 – 0 Aldershot Town FC
2017-02-11Barrow AFC 2 – 2 Aldershot Town FC
2017-10-28Barrow AFC 3 – 1 Aldershot Town FC
2018-04-21Barrow AFC 1 – 1 Aldershot Town FC
2018-11-24Barrow AFC 2 – 0 Aldershot Town FC
2019-03-09Barrow AFC 2 – 1 Aldershot Town FC
TRENDS
Barrow AFC failed to score in 25% of their games.
Aldershot Town FC failed to score in 12% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againsthead to headleague table