ENGLAND - CHAMPIONSHIP
15:00Sat 19 Sep
DER
DC
Burnley vs Derby County
CLASS E
THE READ
Burnley go over 1.5 in 100% of their games. Derby County go over 1.5 in 86% of their games.
Bet: Over 1.5 Goals · Expected goals 1.7 – 1.0
WHY — 2 THINGS AGREE, 0 AGAINST
Angles that agree2/2 lit
BUR O1.5 100%
DER O1.5 86%
Burnley go over 1.5 in 100% of their games
Derby County go over 1.5 in 86% of their games
PICKS & CONFIDENCEONE PER MARKET
READY TO BET · PRICED
TOTAL GOALS
Under 4.5 Goals10-ODDS
1.15
2 of 2 agree85.5%
Book 87% · Us 86% -1 price too short
Backed by: nothing in the read is against under 4.5.
STRONG · WAITING FOR A PRICE
FIRST HALF GOALS
Over 0.5 first-half goals10-ODDS
no price yet
2 of 2 agree79.2%
Backed by: the two sides' first halves: a first-half goal in 6 of 7 and 7 of 7 of their games with a half-time score.
SCORELINES
Predicted score
1 – 1 11%
Over 1.5 70.1%
Burnley goals →
Derby County goals ↓
0-05%
1-07%
2-05%
3-03%
4-01.0%
5-00.3%
0-17%
1-111%
2-18%
3-14%
4-12%
5-10.5%
0-26%
1-29%
2-26%
3-23%
4-21%
5-20.4%
0-33%
1-34%
2-33%
3-32%
4-30.6%
5-30.2%
0-41%
1-42%
2-41%
3-40.7%
4-40.2%
5-40.1%
0-50.4%
1-50.6%
2-50.4%
3-50.2%
4-50.1%
5-50.0%
Every scoreline's chance from both teams' counted goals a game: Burnley score 1.14 and concede 2.29 (last 10, all venues, 7 games), Derby County score 0.86 and concede 1.86 (last 10, all venues, 7 games). Brighter squares are likelier; the predicted score is lit.
FORM · LAST 7
BURNLEYDLLDLDL0.43 PPG
DERBY COUNTYLDLWLLL0.57 PPG
THE NUMBERS
BURNLEY HOMExDERBY COUNTY AWAY
1.14SCORED A GAME0.862.29CONCEDED A GAME1.86100%BOTH SCORED43%0%CLEAN SHEETS14%0%FAILED TO SCORE43%
THE BANK
THE QUALITY READ
0.43POINTS A GAME0.57-1.14GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-1.00-1.2SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-5.80.4LAST 5: POINTS A GAME0.67LEAGUE GAMES7
Burnley: the quality side - more shots than it allows.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
94%
VERY GOOD · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
74%
OKAY · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
95%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
BURNLEY OR DRAW
67%
NO · 80/85
DERBY COUNTY OR DRAW
68%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (7 and 7 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
BURNLEYxDERBY COUNTY
5GAMES51.00SCORED A GAME0.602.20CONCEDED A GAME1.803.2GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.4100%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%60%OVER 2.5 GOALS60%100%BOTH SCORE20%4.2CARDS IN THEIR GAMES3.48.8CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES12.6
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 10
BURNLEY 6 · 60%DRAW 4DERBY COUNTY 0 · 0%
3 of 10BOTH TEAMS SCORED
6 of 10OVER 1.5 GOALS
4 of 10OVER 2.5 GOALS
1 of 10OVER 3.5 GOALS
2012-01-21Burnley 0 – 0 Derby County
2012-09-22Burnley 2 – 1 Derby County
2012-12-26Burnley 2 – 0 Derby County
2013-08-31Burnley 3 – 0 Derby County
2014-03-01Burnley 2 – 0 Derby County
2015-09-21Burnley 0 – 0 Derby County
2016-01-25Burnley 4 – 1 Derby County
2024-12-10Burnley 0 – 0 Derby County
TEAM NEWS
BURNLEY
Out: E. Agyei (Injury), J. Banel (Injury), A. Barnes (Injury), J. Beyer (Hamstring Injury), J. Bruun Larsen (Injury), J. Cullen (Knee Injury)DERBY COUNTY
Out: P. Agyemang (Achilles Tendon Injury), F. Bilbija (Back Injury), M. Clarke (Calf Injury), C. Forsyth (Knee Injury), H. Meister (Injury), D. Murkin (Hamstring Injury)TRENDS
Burnley failed to score in 0% of their games.
Derby County failed to score in 43% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstxG & xGAhead to headleague tableteam newscorners