INTERNATIONAL - UEFA NATIONS LEAGUE
19:45Sun 27 Sep
POR
POR
Norway vs Portugal
CLASS A
THE READ
Norway to win - 2-1 is the likeliest score. Portugal sit second, Norway top, Portugal concede about one a game. Norway average more than three a game. Norway come in with five wins from their last six. There will be goals in this. A quiet first half is likely. Few fouls, few cards. Norway do not keep it tight, so Portugal should average one. No main bet: nothing we back is priced at 1.15 or more.
Bet: Over 1.5 Goals
WHY — 2 THINGS AGREE, 0 AGAINST
Angles that agree2/2 lit
NOR SCORE 100%
POR SCORE 70%
Norway score in 100% of their games
Portugal score in 70% of their games
PICKS & CONFIDENCEONE PER MARKET
READY TO BET · PRICED
SECOND HALF GOALS
2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5NOT IN CODES
1.16
1 of 1 agree80%
Book 86% · Us 80% -6 price too short
Backed by: Norway: the bet landed in 6 of 6 at home · Portugal: the bet landed in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · on half-time scores
STRONG · WAITING FOR A PRICE
OR HOME OVER 1.5
Norway or Over 1.5 Goals10-ODDS
no price yet
2 of 2 agree85%
Backed by: Norway: the bet landed in 6 of 6 at home · Portugal: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85%
TEAM HOME OVER 0.5
Norway Over 0.5 Goals10-ODDS
no price yet
1 of 1 agree80%
Backed by: Norway scored in 6 of 6 at home · Portugal conceded in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80%
TOTAL GOALS
Over 1.5 GoalsMAIN10-ODDS
no price yet
2 of 2 agree80%
Backed by: Norway: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 6 at home · Portugal: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80%
OR HOME OVER 2.5
Norway or Over 2.5 Goals10-ODDS
no price yet
1 of 1 agree80%
Backed by: Norway: the bet landed in 6 of 6 at home · Portugal: the bet landed in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80%
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
Norway or Both Teams Score10-ODDS
no price yet
1 of 1 agree80%
Backed by: Norway: the bet landed in 6 of 6 at home · Portugal: the bet landed in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80%
TEAM AWAY OVER 0.5
Portugal Over 0.5 goals
no price yet
2 of 2 agree77.8%
Backed by: Portugal scored in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Norway conceded in 5 of 6 at home · both last 10: 80%
FIRST HALF GOALS
Over 0.5 first-half goalsNOT IN CODES
no price yet
1 of 1 agree71.1%
Backed by: Norway: the bet landed in 5 of 6 at home · Portugal: the bet landed in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70% · on half-time scores
SCORELINES
Most likely score
2 – 1 9%
Over 1.5 80%
Norway goals →
Portugal goals ↓
0-03%
1-05%
2-06%
3-05%
4-03%
5-01%
0-13%
1-18%
2-19%
3-17%
4-14%
5-12%
0-22%
1-25%
2-26%
3-25%
4-23%
5-22%
0-31%
1-33%
2-33%
3-33%
4-32%
5-30.7%
0-40.4%
1-41.0%
2-41%
3-40.9%
4-40.6%
5-40.3%
0-50.1%
1-50.3%
2-50.3%
3-50.3%
4-50.2%
5-50.1%
Every scoreline's chance from expected goals 2.41 – 1.46. Brighter squares are likelier; the most likely score is lit.
FORM · LAST 10
NORWAYWWWWWWLWWW2.70 PPG
PORTUGALWDLWDWDWLW1.80 PPG
THE NUMBERS
NORWAY HOMExPORTUGAL AWAY
3.90SCORED A GAME2.101.40CONCEDED A GAME0.8010%CLEAN SHEETS40%4.00CORNERS A GAME4.830.67CARDS A GAME1.171.82xG2.131.48xG AGAINST1.08
TRENDS
Norway have scored in 100% of their games.
Portugal have scored in 70% of their games.
Norway kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.
Portugal kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstxG & xGAclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards