NORNOR

19:45Sun 27 Sep

POR

POR

Norway vs Portugal

CLASS A

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THE READ

Norway to win - the stats agree: Norway are clearly the stronger side on recent form, weighed by who they played (2.7 points a game to 1.9); backed by goal difference. The table says top against second, Portugal concede about one a game. Norway average more than three a game. Norway have five wins in their last six. There will be goals in this. The goals tend to come after the break with these two. Both sides keep it clean. No main bet: nothing we back is priced at 1.09 or more.

PICKS · EVERY MARKETCOUNTED

RESULT

Norway or drawLEANCARD ONLY

1.44

NOR 5/6 · POR 5/1067.5%

Norway unbeaten in 5 of 6 at home · Portugal failed to win 5 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 71% · each game weighed by who it was against

GOALS 1.5

Over 1.5 goalsIN CODES

1.14

NOR 6/6 · POR 6/1079%

Norway: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 6 at home · Portugal: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 79% · each game weighed by who it was against

GOALS 2.5

Over 2.5 goalsLEANNOT IN CODES

1.47

NOR 6/6 · POR 4/1069%

Norway: over 2.5 goals in 6 of 6 at home · Portugal: over 2.5 goals in 4 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70% · each game weighed by who it was against

GOALS 3.5

Over 3.5 goalsLEANCARD ONLY

2.15

NOR 6/6 · POR 3/1060.5%

Norway: over 3.5 goals in 6 of 6 at home · Portugal: over 3.5 goals in 3 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 53% · each game weighed by who it was against

BOTH TEAMS SCORE

Both teams score: YesLEANCARD ONLY

1.45

NOR 5/6 · POR 4/1062.8%

Norway: both scored in 5 of 6 at home · Portugal: both scored in 4 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 65% · each game weighed by who it was against

NORWAY GOALS

Norway over 0.5 goalsIN CODES

1.17

NOR 6/6 · POR 6/1080%

Norway scored in 6 of 6 at home · Portugal conceded in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · each game weighed by who it was against

PORTUGAL GOALS

Portugal under 2.5 goalsCARD ONLY

1.23

NOR 5/6 · POR 8/1082.1%

Portugal scored under 2.5 in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Norway conceded under 2.5 in 5 of 6 at home · both last 10: 85% · each game weighed by who it was against

FIRST HALF GOALS

First half over 0.5 goalsNOT IN CODES

1.27

NOR 5/6 · POR 6/1071.5%

Norway's games: first half over 0.5 goals in 5 of 6 at home · Portugal's games: first half over 0.5 goals in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 69% · on half-time scores · each game weighed by who it was against

CORNERS

Over 7.5 cornersCARD ONLY

1.45

NOR 7/8 · POR 5/779.5%

Norway's games: over 7.5 corners in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Portugal's games: over 7.5 corners in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 79% · each game weighed by who it was against

CARDS (YELLOW 1, RED 2)

Under 3.5 cardsCARD ONLY

no price yet

NOR 6/8 · POR 6/779.2%

Norway's games: under 3.5 cards in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Portugal's games: under 3.5 cards in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 79% · each game weighed by who it was against

SHOTS (BOTH TEAMS)

Not enough counted games

–

Norway: 0 counted games with both sides' shots · Portugal: 0 counted games with both sides' shots

Predicted score 2–1 (7.1%, the likeliest score that fits the read and the picks at 70% or more) · agrees with: the call: Norway win, over 1.5, Norway over 0.5, Portugal under 2.5

SCORELINES

Predicted score

2 – 1 7%

Over 1.5 79%

Norway goals →

Portugal goals ↓

0-01%

1-03%

2-04%

3-03%

4-02%

5-01%

0-12%

1-15%

2-17%

3-16%

4-14%

5-12%

0-22%

1-25%

2-27%

3-26%

4-24%

5-22%

0-31%

1-33%

2-34%

3-34%

4-32%

5-31%

0-40.6%

1-41%

2-42%

3-42%

4-41%

5-40.6%

0-50.2%

1-50.6%

2-50.7%

3-50.7%

4-50.4%

5-50.2%

Every scoreline's chance from both teams' counted goals a game: Norway score 4.5 and concede 1.67 (at home, 6 games), Portugal score 2.1 and concede 0.8 (last 10, all venues, 10 games). Brighter squares are likelier; the predicted score is lit.

FORM · LAST 10

NORWAYWWWWWWLWWW2.70 PPG

PORTUGALWDLWDWDWLW1.80 PPG

THE NUMBERS

NORWAY HOMExPORTUGAL AWAY

3.90SCORED A GAME2.101.40CONCEDED A GAME0.8010%CLEAN SHEETS40%4.50CORNERS A GAME5.570.75CARDS A GAME1.001.91xG2.131.36xG AGAINST1.08

TRENDS

Norway have scored in 100% of their games.

Portugal have scored in 70% of their games.

Norway kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.

Portugal kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstxG & xGAclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards