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INTERNATIONAL - UEFA NATIONS LEAGUE
Israel crestISRISR
19:45Sun 27 Sep
IRLIreland crestIRE

Israel vs Ireland

CLASS A
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THE READ
Ireland to win - the stats agree: Ireland are clearly the stronger side on recent form, weighed by who they played (1.6 points a game to 1.1). Israel sit fourth, Ireland third, goals go in against Israel, a little over two a game. Ireland score a little over one a game. Israel's last six are not bad, two wins. The final goals call favours over 2.5. Ireland are the ones who will be fouling and getting booked. No main bet: nothing we back is priced at 1.09 or more.
PICKS · EVERY MARKETCOUNTED
RESULT
Israel or drawLEANCARD ONLY
1.47
ISR 3/5 · IRL 4/655%
Israel unbeaten in 3 of 5 at home · Ireland failed to win 4 of 6 away · both last 10: 46% · each game weighed by who it was against
GOALS 1.5
Over 1.5 goalsCARD ONLY
1.36
ISR 4/5 · IRL 4/671.5%
Israel: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Ireland: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 6 away · both last 10: 78% · each game weighed by who it was against
GOALS 2.5
Over 2.5 goalsLEANCARD ONLYHELD · the odds board 48%
2.10
ISR 4/5 · IRL 4/669.5%
Israel: over 2.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Ireland: over 2.5 goals in 4 of 6 away · both last 10: 72% · each game weighed by who it was against
GOALS 3.5
Under 3.5 goalsLEANCARD ONLYHELD · the odds board 78%
1.29
ISR 2/5 · IRL 4/650.2%
Israel: under 3.5 goals in 2 of 5 at home · Ireland: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 6 away · both last 10: 49% · each game weighed by who it was against
BOTH TEAMS SCORE
Both teams score: YesLEANCARD ONLY
1.87
ISR 4/5 · IRL 3/655.6%
Israel: both scored in 4 of 5 at home · Ireland: both scored in 3 of 6 away · both last 10: 51% · each game weighed by who it was against
ISRAEL GOALS
Israel over 0.5 goalsCARD ONLY
1.37
ISR 5/5 · IRL 6/692.6%
Israel scored in 5 of 5 at home · Ireland conceded in 6 of 6 away · both last 10: 78% · each game weighed by who it was against
IRELAND GOALS
Ireland under 2.5 goalsLEANCARD ONLYHELD · the odds board 89%
1.12
ISR 3/5 · IRL 5/665%
Ireland scored under 2.5 in 5 of 6 away · Israel conceded under 2.5 in 3 of 5 at home · both last 10: 63% · each game weighed by who it was against
FIRST HALF GOALS
First half under 2.5 goalsCARD ONLY
1.09
ISR 5/5 · IRL 4/684.6%
Israel's games: first half under 2.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Ireland's games: first half under 2.5 goals in 4 of 6 away · both last 10: 84% · on half-time scores · each game weighed by who it was against
CORNERS
Under 8.5 cornersCARD ONLYHELD · the odds board 49%
2.05
ISR 5/6 · IRL 4/584.2%
Israel's games: under 8.5 corners in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Ireland's games: under 8.5 corners in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 84% · each game weighed by who it was against
CARDS (YELLOW 1, RED 2)
Over 2.5 cardsLEANCARD ONLYHELD · the odds board 88%
1.13
ISR 3/6 · IRL 3/555.5%
Israel's games: over 2.5 cards in 3 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Ireland's games: over 2.5 cards in 3 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 55% · each game weighed by who it was against
SHOTS (BOTH TEAMS)
Not enough counted games
–
Israel: 0 counted games with both sides' shots · Ireland: 0 counted games with both sides' shots
Predicted score 0–2 (9.7%, the likeliest score that fits the read and the picks at 70% or more) · agrees with: not Over 2.5 goals (held by the odds board), the call: Ireland win, over 1.5 · could not also fit: not Under 3.5 goals (held by the odds board), not Ireland under 2.5 goals (held by the odds board), Israel over 0.5
SCORELINES
Predicted score
0 – 2 10%
Israel goals →
Ireland goals ↓
0-00.0%
1-00.0%
2-00.0%
3-00.0%
4-00.0%
5-00.0%
0-112%
1-10.0%
2-10.0%
3-10.0%
4-10.0%
5-10.0%
0-210%
1-222%
2-20.0%
3-20.0%
4-20.0%
5-20.0%
0-35%
1-312%
2-314%
3-30.0%
4-30.0%
5-30.0%
0-42%
1-45%
2-45%
3-44%
4-40.0%
5-40.0%
0-50.7%
1-52%
2-52%
3-51%
4-50.8%
5-50.0%

Every scoreline's chance from both teams' counted goals a game: Israel score 2.6 and concede 2.2 (at home, 5 games), Ireland score 1 and concede 2 (away, 6 games). Brighter squares are likelier; the predicted score is lit.

Counted goals alone lean to Israel, but the read calls Ireland, so only the scores where Ireland win are shown, rescaled to 100%.

FORM · LAST 10
ISRAELWWLWWLLLWL1.50 PPG
IRELANDLWWDLLWWWL1.60 PPG
THE NUMBERS
ISRAEL HOMExIRELAND AWAY
2.10SCORED A GAME1.302.30CONCEDED A GAME1.5020%CLEAN SHEETS20%4.00CORNERS A GAME2.801.67CARDS A GAME2.801.95xG2.041.87xG AGAINST1.10
TRENDS
Israel have scored in 80% of their games.
Ireland have scored in 80% of their games.
Israel kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
Ireland kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstxG & xGAclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards
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