INTERNATIONAL - UEFA NATIONS LEAGUE
17:00Sun 27 Sep
NED
NET
Serbia vs Netherlands
CLASS A
THE READ
No firm call: the read leans Netherlands, but the likeliest score is 1-1. Netherlands are unbeaten in their last six, three of them wins. Second against fourth in the table, Serbia concede about one a game. Netherlands average close to three a game. Two wins from six for Serbia lately. The historical goal rates suggest a higher-scoring game, but the final match read leans under 2.5 goals. No main bet: nothing we back is priced at 1.15 or more.
PICKS & CONFIDENCEONE PER MARKET
READY TO BET · PRICED
SECOND HALF GOALS
2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5NOT IN CODES
1.20
2 of 2 agree89.4%
Book 83% · Us 89% +6
Backed by: Serbia: the bet landed in 5 of 6 at home · Netherlands: the bet landed in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · on half-time scores
SCORELINES
Most likely score
1 – 1 14%
Serbia goals →
Netherlands goals ↓
0-011%
1-09%
2-04%
3-01%
4-00.3%
5-00.1%
0-113%
1-114%
2-16%
3-12%
4-10.4%
5-10.1%
0-29%
1-29%
2-24%
3-21%
4-20.3%
5-20.1%
0-34%
1-34%
2-32%
3-30.5%
4-30.1%
5-30.0%
0-41%
1-41%
2-40.6%
3-40.2%
4-40.0%
5-40.0%
0-50.4%
1-50.3%
2-50.2%
3-50.0%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every scoreline's chance from expected goals 0.92 – 1.33. Brighter squares are likelier; the most likely score is lit.
FORM · LAST 10
SERBIAWDWWLLWLWL1.60 PPG
NETHERLANDSDWWWDWDWWD2.20 PPG
THE NUMBERS
SERBIA HOMExNETHERLANDS AWAY
1.20SCORED A GAME2.801.20CONCEDED A GAME0.9040%CLEAN SHEETS30%6.83CORNERS A GAME5.501.33CARDS A GAME0.671.43xG2.101.19xG AGAINST0.75
TRENDS
Serbia have scored in 60% of their games.
Netherlands have scored in 100% of their games.
Serbia kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.
Netherlands kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstxG & xGAclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards