INTERNATIONAL - UEFA NATIONS LEAGUE
17:00Sun 27 Sep
KOS
KOS
Austria vs Kosovo
CLASS A
THE READ
No firm call on the result; the likeliest score is 1-0. The points-per-game comparison favours Kosovo, so this is not a one-sided case. Kosovo are second in the table, Austria are top, Austria concede a little over one a game. Goals are hard to come by for Kosovo, one and a half a game. Two wins from six for Austria lately. No main bet: nothing we back is priced at 1.15 or more.
Bet: Kosovo Over 0.5 goals
WHY — 2 THINGS AGREE, 0 AGAINST
Angles that agree2/2 lit
KOS SCORE 70%
AUT CLEAN 20%
Kosovo score in 70% of their games
Austria keep a clean sheet in only 20%
PICKS & CONFIDENCEONE PER MARKET
STRONG · WAITING FOR A PRICE
TOTAL GOALS
Over 1.5 Goals10-ODDS
no price yet
2 of 3 agree81.7%
Backed by: Austria: over 1.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Kosovo: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 75%
TEAM AWAY OVER 0.5
Kosovo Over 0.5 goalsMAIN
no price yet
2 of 2 agree78.3%
Backed by: Kosovo scored in 4 of 5 away · Austria conceded in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75%
SCORELINES
Most likely score
1 – 0 15%
Over 1.5 81.7%
Austria goals →
Kosovo goals ↓
0-013%
1-015%
2-010%
3-04%
4-01%
5-00.3%
0-19%
1-114%
2-18%
3-13%
4-11%
5-10.3%
0-24%
1-25%
2-23%
3-21%
4-20.4%
5-20.1%
0-31%
1-31%
2-30.9%
3-30.4%
4-30.1%
5-30.0%
0-40.2%
1-40.3%
2-40.2%
3-40.1%
4-40.0%
5-40.0%
0-50.0%
1-50.0%
2-50.0%
3-50.0%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every scoreline's chance from expected goals 1.26 – 0.82. Brighter squares are likelier; the most likely score is lit.
FORM · LAST 10
AUSTRIAWWLWDWLDLW1.70 PPG
KOSOVOWLWDWWDWLW2.00 PPG
THE NUMBERS
AUSTRIA HOMExKOSOVO AWAY
2.40SCORED A GAME1.401.30CONCEDED A GAME1.0020%CLEAN SHEETS50%3.00CORNERS A GAME3.201.43CARDS A GAME2.201.04xG0.961.39xG AGAINST0.56
TRENDS
Austria have scored in 70% of their games.
Kosovo have scored in 70% of their games.
Austria kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
Kosovo kept a clean sheet in 50% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstxG & xGAclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards