INTERNATIONAL - UEFA NATIONS LEAGUE
19:45Sat 26 Sep
ESP
SPA
England vs Spain
CLASS A
THE BETSTRONG · 10-ODDS · 100-ODDS ·…
82
DOUBLE CHANCE
Class A
Double Chance: England or Spain
England v Spain
1.30odds
77%book
+5edge
2/2angles
THE READ
No firm call on the result; the likeliest score is 1-1. Spain have won three of the last five meetings. Spain win the corner count, seven corners a game to four. The historical goal rates suggest a higher-scoring game, but the final match read leans under 2.5 goals. Do not expect much before the break. Spain have won their last six. A tipster goes 2-2, against our read. No main bet: nothing we back is priced at 1.15 or more.
Bet: Double Chance: England or Spain
WHY — 2 THINGS AGREE, 0 AGAINST
Angles that agree2/2 lit
ENG 9/10
ESP 8/10
England saw this bet land in 9 of their last 10 games
Spain saw this bet land in 8 of their last 10 games
PICKS & CONFIDENCEONE PER MARKET
READY TO BET · PRICED
DOUBLE CHANCE
Double Chance: England or SpainMAIN10-ODDS
1.30
2 of 2 agree81.7%
Book 77% · Us 82% +5
Backed by: England: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Spain: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85%
TEAM AWAY OVER 0.5
Spain Over 0.5 goals
1.18
1 of 1 agree73.3%
Book 85% · Us 73% -12 price too short
Backed by: Spain scored in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · England conceded in 3 of 5 at home · both last 10: 70%
SCORELINES
Most likely score
1 – 1 14%
England goals →
Spain goals ↓
0-09%
1-09%
2-06%
3-02%
4-00.6%
5-00.1%
0-111%
1-114%
2-17%
3-13%
4-10.8%
5-10.2%
0-28%
1-28%
2-25%
3-22%
4-20.5%
5-20.1%
0-33%
1-34%
2-32%
3-30.8%
4-30.2%
5-30.1%
0-41%
1-41%
2-40.7%
3-40.3%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.3%
1-50.3%
2-50.2%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every scoreline's chance from expected goals 1.13 – 1.32. Brighter squares are likelier; the most likely score is lit.
FORM · LAST 10
ENGLANDWWWWDWWWLW2.50 PPG
SPAINWWDDWWWWWW2.60 PPG
THE NUMBERS
ENGLAND HOMExSPAIN AWAY
2.70SCORED A GAME2.301.10CONCEDED A GAME0.3040%CLEAN SHEETS80%4.00CORNERS A GAME7.331.83CARDS A GAME0.671.65xG2.541.44xG AGAINST0.79
TRENDS
England have scored in 90% of their games.
Spain have scored in 80% of their games.
England kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.
Spain kept a clean sheet in 80% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstxG & xGAclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards