ENGENG

19:45Sat 26 Sep

ESP

SPA

England vs Spain

CLASS A

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THE READ

No firm call on the result; the likeliest score is 1-1. Spain have won three of the last five meetings. Spain win the corner count, seven corners a game to four. The historical goal rates suggest a higher-scoring game, but the final match read leans under 2.5 goals. Do not expect much before the break. Spain have won their last six. No main bet: nothing we back is priced at 1.15 or more.

PICKS & CONFIDENCEONE PER MARKET

READY TO BET · PRICED

DOUBLE CHANCE

Double Chance: England or Spain10-ODDS

1.30

2 of 2 agree81.7%

Book 77% · Us 82% +5

Backed by: England: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Spain: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85%

TEAM GOALS

Spain Over 0.5 goals10-ODDS

1.18

1 of 1 agree73.3%

Book 85% · Us 73% -12 price too short

Backed by: Spain scored in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · England conceded in 3 of 5 at home · both last 10: 70%

SCORELINES

Predicted score

1 – 1 12%

England goals →

Spain goals ↓

0-07%

1-07%

2-04%

3-01%

4-00.3%

5-00.1%

0-111%

1-112%

2-16%

3-12%

4-10.6%

5-10.1%

0-29%

1-210%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.5%

5-20.1%

0-35%

1-35%

2-33%

3-31.0%

4-30.3%

5-30.1%

0-42%

1-42%

2-41%

3-40.4%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.7%

1-50.7%

2-50.4%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every scoreline's chance from both teams' counted goals a game: England score 1.8 and concede 1 (at home, 5 games), Spain score 2.3 and concede 0.3 (last 10, all venues, 10 games). Brighter squares are likelier; the predicted score is lit.

FORM · LAST 10

ENGLANDWWWWDWWWLW2.50 PPG

SPAINWWDDWWWWWW2.60 PPG

THE NUMBERS

ENGLAND HOMExSPAIN AWAY

2.70SCORED A GAME2.301.10CONCEDED A GAME0.3040%CLEAN SHEETS80%4.00CORNERS A GAME7.331.83CARDS A GAME0.671.65xG2.541.44xG AGAINST0.79

TRENDS

England have scored in 90% of their games.

Spain have scored in 80% of their games.

England kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.

Spain kept a clean sheet in 80% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstxG & xGAclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards